@mongold

#2,498,04419

0x8e79f450d4e6d661cae747875fa3fedf14299076

~61d· 393 markets · 1299 tradesVol: $94,1542026-08-02 05:10:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (152/393)4.3/20
0.94x (win $14,708 / loss $15,630)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3550/15
Sortino -1.9590/10
$-0.0393 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 52 (393 markets)10/10
23/58 profitable days (40%)2.4/10
Max DD 356% of peak ($1,283 / $361)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
71% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,724,903$-168Vol: $83,256
CRYPTO#72,476$159Vol: $9,743
🏛️ POLITICS#1,499,385$-77Vol: $1,155

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-86
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$94,154
Total Redeem
$82
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
393
total markets
Trades
571B / 728S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
152W / 241L events
Realized PnL
$-86
Win Rate
39%
152W / 241L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$97
Avg Loss
$-69

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,140 (13.223008233793344% of PnL)

Top Winners

Morocco leading at halftime?$451
Argentina leading at halftime?$388
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$301
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?$283
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)$278
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)$256
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)$229
Netherlands leading at halftime?$229
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$223
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$217

Top Losers

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-400
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$-400
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-260
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score$-254
Rockets vs. Lakers$-246
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-220
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-210
Belgium leading at halftime?$-200
Germany leading at halftime?$-200
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.070
Sortino
-0.123
HHI
64
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.039
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
10.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.9
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 155s — normal for humanCV 1.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active3.3 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.31
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.1%
Mid (20-55c)57.6%
High (>55c)29.2%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 9:07:11 PM48 trades$2,0819 min
6/25/2026, 9:59:35 PM20 trades$1,23514 min
6/23/2026, 10:05:29 PM24 trades$1,16414 min
6/22/2026, 7:20:07 PM4 trades$1,0810 min
6/20/2026, 10:03:43 PM27 trades$1,0498 min
6/17/2026, 10:04:49 PM13 trades$9344 min
6/19/2026, 12:06:11 AM14 trades$9095 min
6/19/2026, 10:52:55 PM4 trades$8554 min
6/20/2026, 9:08:01 AM19 trades$8227 min
6/20/2026, 7:30:46 PM20 trades$7685 min
6/19/2026, 11:07:22 PM6 trades$6991 min
6/19/2026, 6:24:35 PM8 trades$6385 min
6/17/2026, 12:13:20 AM19 trades$6359 min
6/24/2026, 6:41:10 AM16 trades$61712 min
6/24/2026, 10:52:41 PM8 trades$6149 min
5/8/2026, 9:36:32 AM10 trades$5799 min
5/7/2026, 9:18:15 AM39 trades$57512 min
5/14/2026, 7:41:26 AM17 trades$57212 min
6/19/2026, 9:59:23 PM6 trades$5651 min
6/22/2026, 2:26:43 PM6 trades$5440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
05-05
05-18
06-14
06-23
07-02
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.31/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L13.1 / M57.6 / H29.2