roroelguapo

@roroelguapo

#5,55371

0x8e89a5b7db763f3c3bfdfd8edaf4a6ff7f48c03b

~20d· 27 markets · 176 tradesVol: $435,1342026-08-02 15:52:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (11/27)5.4/20
21.40x (win $49,312 / loss $2,304)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.32315/15
Sortino 247.97610/10
$+0.5988 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2772 (27 markets)0/10
8/15 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($1,869 / $47,008)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+30,212
Whale
$78,510 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 4%

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,952$31,897Vol: $405,592
📈 ECONOMICS#674,976$-499Vol: $15,121
🏛️ POLITICS#1,609,734$-878Vol: $11,060
CRYPTO#1,563,428$-309Vol: $3,361

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$30,212
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$435,134
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
99B / 77S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
11W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$30,212
Win Rate
41%
11W / 16L
Profit Factor
21.4x
Avg Win
$4,483
Avg Loss
$-144

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $47,882 (1.584868157998565% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$45,159
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5$1,695
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5$1,028
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$939
Will the fight be won by submission?$127
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots$126
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$100
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$64
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$43
Will France strike Iran by March 31?$21

Top Losers

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-499
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$-300
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$-255
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?$-250
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?$-200
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?$-196
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-195
Will Modestas Bukauskas win by KO or TKO?$-183
Military action against Iran ends by March 28, 2026?$-80
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?$-42

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.269
Sortino
15.004
HHI
2667
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.599
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39.7%
Top-5 markets
92%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
48.0m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 3.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.52
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)81.8%

Sessions

#12
5/26/2026, 1:41:23 PM2 trades$33,9740 min
7/14/2026, 7:34:26 PM2 trades$24,1980 min
5/28/2026, 3:30:41 PM2 trades$19,7860 min
7/1/2026, 4:11:05 PM51 trades$17,8633 min
7/12/2026, 3:57:25 AM18 trades$12,1370 min
7/1/2026, 1:12:17 PM3 trades$8,2390 min
7/9/2026, 6:00:38 PM15 trades$4,0440 min
7/6/2026, 8:08:02 PM8 trades$1,1000 min
7/11/2026, 8:19:26 PM5 trades$1,0001 min
7/6/2026, 7:34:32 PM9 trades$8902 min
1/23/2026, 10:16:42 PM6 trades$8163 min
7/6/2026, 8:28:22 PM5 trades$8000 min
2/10/2026, 5:41:17 PM2 trades$4990 min
3/24/2026, 7:56:21 AM5 trades$3398 min
7/6/2026, 8:35:31 PM1 trades$3320 min
7/5/2026, 6:54:25 AM1 trades$3240 min
2/24/2026, 6:30:48 PM5 trades$3096 min
3/7/2026, 5:53:31 PM1 trades$2380 min
3/3/2026, 10:49:05 AM1 trades$2160 min
2/28/2026, 8:10:15 PM1 trades$2070 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
02-10
02-28
03-07
03-27
07-01
07-09
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.1 / M6.1 / H81.8