aletester

@aletester

#2,244,7297

0x8ef7e1f316bdebb23d90c408c46c2a67dd127b01

~40d· 80 markets · 401 tradesVol: $8,7752026-08-02 08:56:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (17/61)0/20
0.51x (win $58 / loss $113)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.3050/15
Sortino -5.8910/10
$-0.2282 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1267 (61 markets)6.2/10
10/31 profitable days (32%)0.6/10
Max DD 1067% of peak ($61 / $6)0/10

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#523,555$-2Vol: $2,556
💰 FINANCE#585,047$-15Vol: $1,940
🏛️ POLITICS#1,203,981$-7Vol: $1,132
🎭 CULTURE#641,971$-5Vol: $852
CRYPTO#1,189,341$-13Vol: $436
SPORTS#302,119$8Vol: $351
🌤️ WEATHER#180,668$-1Vol: $46
📢 MENTIONS#68,746$-0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-35
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,775
Total Redeem
$18
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
80
total markets
Trades
196B / 205S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-35
Vol: $8,775

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
17W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-35
Win Rate
28%
17W / 44L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $40 (1.154178674351585% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)$18
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$10
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$6
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$4
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$2
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-20
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$-8
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$-4
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-4
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$-4
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.273
Sortino
-0.318
HHI
309
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.278
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
27.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 0.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.28
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.4%
Mid (20-55c)26%
High (>55c)51.5%

Sessions

#12
5/26/2026, 9:45:14 PM4 trades$6001 min
5/29/2026, 1:32:17 PM4 trades$3351 min
7/10/2026, 4:38:46 AM2 trades$3330 min
5/4/2026, 1:28:30 PM2 trades$2500 min
5/13/2026, 1:24:39 PM8 trades$2000 min
6/19/2026, 4:45:14 AM4 trades$1800 min
6/19/2026, 5:13:05 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/5/2026, 12:49:49 PM46 trades$835 min
6/19/2026, 4:55:40 AM4 trades$790 min
6/19/2026, 5:36:41 AM16 trades$624 min
6/2/2026, 8:12:13 PM18 trades$489 min
5/12/2026, 12:29:13 PM14 trades$384 min
6/10/2026, 4:32:51 AM9 trades$364 min
7/13/2026, 9:29:08 AM3 trades$260 min
5/3/2026, 10:11:10 PM2 trades$240 min
7/13/2026, 9:35:25 AM3 trades$220 min
5/4/2026, 1:08:38 PM7 trades$184 min
7/24/2026, 2:29:00 PM14 trades$183 min
5/3/2026, 10:44:10 PM2 trades$130 min
6/15/2026, 8:48:18 AM4 trades$120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
05-12
05-26
06-05
06-24
07-09
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 103 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.4 / M26 / H51.5