@zaphodpredicts
#2,189,048690x8f59af6942275bcf59c2593ee0aa67ae3ad36a33
~31d· 58 markets · 188 tradesVol: $71,5912026-08-02 02:49:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (24/57)6.1/20
1.69x (win $832 / loss $493)11.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.61515/15
Sortino 8.51210/10
$+0.2730 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 743 (57 markets)8.8/10
14/31 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 48% of peak ($210 / $434)4.3/10
Badges
2Contrarian
67% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
3⚽ SPORTS#1,524,545$-31Vol: $71,532
🎭 CULTURE#499,014$-1Vol: $39
🌤️ WEATHER#38,996$3Vol: $20
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-28
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$71,591
Total Redeem
$36
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
69B / 119S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-31
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-28
Vol: $71,591
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
24W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$-28
Win Rate
42%
24W / 33L
Profit Factor
1.69x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-20
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $571 (20.056862056862055% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$400
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$90
Knicks vs. Spurs$81
Knicks vs. Spurs$68
Lakers vs. Mavericks$24
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?$19
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$17
Bruins vs. Devils$16
Kings vs. Bruins$14
Utah vs. Wild$13
Top Losers
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-80
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-46
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$-40
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes$-40
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-40
Utah vs. Stars$-25
Lakers vs. Cavaliers$-21
Penguins vs. Utah$-20
Magic vs. Heat$-20
Penguins vs. Avalanche$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.135
Sortino
0.535
HHI
461
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.278
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.5%
Top-5 markets
30.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1238s — normal for humanCV 1.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.28
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)29%
Mid (20-55c)37.7%
High (>55c)33.3%
Sessions
#127/5/2026, 9:48:37 PM2 trades$3350 min
7/5/2026, 7:53:08 PM2 trades$2500 min
5/4/2026, 3:50:06 AM9 trades$2270 min
7/18/2026, 3:46:28 PM32 trades$1493 min
7/11/2026, 11:38:32 AM2 trades$1130 min
6/24/2026, 7:16:52 PM4 trades$1010 min
6/19/2026, 12:48:07 AM2 trades$850 min
3/6/2026, 9:08:35 PM4 trades$801 min
6/2/2026, 12:23:57 AM4 trades$771 min
7/21/2026, 2:29:42 AM7 trades$750 min
6/6/2026, 12:18:06 AM2 trades$610 min
1/29/2026, 1:06:54 AM3 trades$601 min
6/4/2026, 12:38:49 AM2 trades$540 min
3/9/2026, 11:55:13 PM3 trades$501 min
6/29/2026, 5:02:43 PM2 trades$500 min
6/7/2026, 1:22:07 AM3 trades$470 min
6/6/2026, 2:41:18 AM2 trades$420 min
1/31/2026, 12:47:04 AM2 trades$405 min
3/14/2026, 10:47:53 PM2 trades$405 min
3/17/2026, 12:44:23 AM2 trades$401 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
01-30
03-10
04-25
06-07
06-29
07-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 126 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.28/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29 / M37.7 / H33.3