Neverfold8

@Neverfold8

#2,970,8358

0x8fd6ebe144e31e7f8b52fc057b5238892689c2b8

~12d· 21 markets · 171 tradesVol: $65,6212026-08-02 05:29:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (5/21)0/20
0.66x (win $7,810 / loss $11,843)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7620/15
Sortino -3.0710/10
$-0.2350 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1295 (21 markets)6/10
4/11 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 173% of peak ($9,539 / $5,507)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
78% entries < $0.55

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,852,330$-1,984Vol: $61,222
🏛️ POLITICS#29,577$429Vol: $4,310
CRYPTO#1,295,363$-25Vol: $89

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,580
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$65,621
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
27B / 144S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Week
$-1,000
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,580
Vol: $65,621

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
5W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-1,580
Win Rate
24%
5W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$1,562
Avg Loss
$-987

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,361 (4.026106934001671% of PnL)

Top Winners

United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5$2,980
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?$1,783
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$1,598
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$792
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$657

Top Losers

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,303
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5$-1,140
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,053
Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5$-856
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-500
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5$-400
Norway vs. France: France O/U 1.5$-237
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$-143
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?$-80
Norway vs. France: France O/U 0.5$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.138
Sortino
-0.135
HHI
1772
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.235
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
35%
Top-5 markets
75.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 1.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.6%
Mid (20-55c)48.1%
High (>55c)22.2%

Sessions

#12
7/17/2026, 7:38:21 PM18 trades$8,6580 min
6/14/2026, 7:58:07 PM3 trades$4,0070 min
6/19/2026, 4:39:34 PM2 trades$2,9800 min
7/3/2026, 7:27:43 AM18 trades$2,5534 min
6/30/2026, 10:05:20 AM22 trades$2,3051 min
6/26/2026, 4:51:25 PM8 trades$1,5830 min
6/26/2026, 5:07:59 PM16 trades$1,4310 min
7/11/2026, 4:00:40 PM4 trades$1,2950 min
6/28/2026, 12:29:34 PM13 trades$1,1360 min
7/15/2026, 8:41:32 PM15 trades$1,1130 min
6/26/2026, 8:56:46 PM2 trades$9660 min
7/7/2026, 5:08:56 PM17 trades$9520 min
7/5/2026, 9:37:19 AM6 trades$9001 min
7/4/2026, 4:04:40 PM10 trades$7051 min
6/28/2026, 1:58:50 PM12 trades$6510 min
7/7/2026, 1:02:07 AM3 trades$4080 min
7/5/2026, 12:19:02 PM2 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-19
06-26
06-30
07-03
07-04
07-05
07-07
07-11
07-15
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
84.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.14/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29.6 / M48.1 / H22.2