@0x8fef9fd8a787d585c71ad1a3df50bef03b1d06c9
860x8fef9fd8a787d585c71ad1a3df50bef03b1d06c9
~19d· 22 markets · 486 trades2026-08-02 07:02:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
82% (18/22)20/20
2.55x (win $17,558 / loss $6,876)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.87215/15
Sortino 10.17710/10
$+0.0325 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 849 (22 markets)8.3/10
14/16 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 41% of peak ($4,596 / $11,259)5.8/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 82%
DCA Master
Avg 22.1 entries/market
Whale
$328,555 invested
Consistent
14/16 profitable days
High Roller
$4,762/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-13,447
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$328,555
Total Redeem
$4
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
59B / 427S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
82%
18W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-13,447
Win Rate
82%
18W / 4L
Profit Factor
2.55x
Avg Win
$975
Avg Loss
$-2,292
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,331 (0.6194963572423466% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$3,588
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$2,985
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1,758
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$1,750
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$1,120
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?$912
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$846
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?$563
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$514
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?$513
Top Losers
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$-4,842
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?$-2,003
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$-31
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.348
Sortino
0.364
HHI
780
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.1%
Top-5 markets
47.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
43.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.0
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2634s — normal for humanCV 1.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule7 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
22.09
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)15.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)84.7%
Sessions
#126/13/2026, 4:40:16 PM33 trades$83,0620 min
6/18/2026, 12:33:41 PM2 trades$53,6610 min
5/27/2026, 4:33:29 PM26 trades$32,7660 min
4/25/2026, 3:12:50 PM12 trades$28,8420 min
4/26/2026, 7:21:10 AM26 trades$28,3861 min
6/13/2026, 10:12:51 AM18 trades$27,8340 min
4/28/2026, 6:38:18 AM11 trades$26,4911 min
4/26/2026, 6:58:24 AM23 trades$25,3711 min
5/1/2026, 7:00:52 AM7 trades$18,1010 min
6/26/2026, 4:50:53 PM18 trades$15,5890 min
5/1/2026, 8:05:22 AM2 trades$15,0750 min
6/25/2026, 3:37:23 PM74 trades$14,7520 min
5/14/2026, 6:04:56 PM17 trades$14,4960 min
5/6/2026, 3:49:29 PM17 trades$14,4700 min
6/18/2026, 3:31:38 PM36 trades$14,3530 min
5/11/2026, 2:22:19 PM30 trades$13,3770 min
5/12/2026, 3:38:29 PM33 trades$13,0540 min
4/24/2026, 7:16:10 PM11 trades$12,3970 min
5/9/2026, 2:57:59 PM39 trades$11,6900 min
5/20/2026, 7:34:29 AM2 trades$11,4800 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
04-28
05-06
05-11
05-14
05-27
06-18
06-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
87.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.3 / M0 / H84.7