@hopefullylucky
#3,004,277140x91754280e17dd92c3fcf4cc71b917dab90876acf
~12d· 10 markets · 323 tradesVol: $180,0102026-08-02 06:34:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (4/8)10/20
0.41x (win $9,116 / loss $22,245)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.4290/15
Sortino -7.7110/10
$-0.2506 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2429 (8 markets)0.4/10
3/7 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($13,129 / $0)0/10
Badges
2DCA Master
Avg 37.9 entries/market
Whale
$52,394 invested
Categories
1🏛️ POLITICS#1,632,605$-4,903Vol: $164,039
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,326
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$180,010
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10
total markets
Trades
21B / 302S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d
Periods
#2Today
$-11
Vol: $0
Week
$-420
Vol: $0
Month
$-95
Vol: $2,227
All Time
$-2,326
Vol: $180,010
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
4W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-2,326
Win Rate
50%
4W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$2,279
Avg Loss
$-5,561
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,427 (3.623758374255025% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$3,821
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$2,617
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1,988
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$688
Top Losers
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-10,066
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$-4,380
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$-4,244
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-3,554
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.360
Sortino
-0.620
HHI
1431
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.273
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.5%
Top-5 markets
77.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.2
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 517s — normal for humanCV 0.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
37.88
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.3%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)71.4%
Sessions
#126/8/2026, 3:34:19 PM57 trades$37,4490 min
6/20/2026, 1:47:38 PM27 trades$18,3422 min
6/10/2026, 9:27:27 PM43 trades$15,3850 min
6/22/2026, 7:23:50 PM4 trades$15,1310 min
6/30/2026, 10:00:56 PM22 trades$8,8310 min
6/15/2026, 12:19:48 AM2 trades$8,3840 min
6/15/2026, 12:59:10 AM8 trades$6,6200 min
6/10/2026, 9:36:04 PM31 trades$5,7640 min
6/17/2026, 9:25:47 PM30 trades$5,5080 min
6/17/2026, 7:46:32 PM21 trades$5,4940 min
7/30/2026, 1:21:39 AM14 trades$5,3170 min
7/13/2026, 4:02:49 PM10 trades$5,1290 min
6/13/2026, 12:42:42 PM18 trades$4,5060 min
8/1/2026, 9:10:50 PM2 trades$4,0080 min
7/31/2026, 12:50:17 AM4 trades$2,9790 min
6/17/2026, 9:36:58 PM30 trades$1,5236 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-10
06-15
06-17
06-20
06-22
06-30
07-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
93.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 37.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.3 / M14.3 / H71.4