pepess

@pepess

#102,06367

0x91a73fcf7547627637a81cda0f696af821fec755

~181d· 270 markets · 975 tradesVol: $397,049 @Pepess1606952026-08-02 05:29:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (143/264)12.1/20
1.57x (win $4,974 / loss $3,162)9.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.90215/15
Sortino 4.06210/10
$+0.0088 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 262 (264 markets)10/10
77/135 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 53% of peak ($1,002 / $1,884)3.4/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+652
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
Whale
$206,982 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#27,971$475Vol: $243,315
CRYPTO#33,153$851Vol: $72,511
🎭 CULTURE#764,956$-57Vol: $26,080
💰 FINANCE#614,777$-44Vol: $25,842
📢 MENTIONS#166,770$-145Vol: $15,003
SPORTS#1,738,243$-200Vol: $7,036
💻 TECH#14,417$16Vol: $3,832
📈 ECONOMICS#631,626$-24Vol: $3,080
🌤️ WEATHER#290,387$-201Vol: $300

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$652
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$397,049
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
270
total markets
Trades
640B / 335S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~181d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-44
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$652
Vol: $397,049

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
143W / 121L events
Realized PnL
$652
Win Rate
54%
143W / 121L
Profit Factor
1.57x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,942 (2.9770372187135936% of PnL)

Top Winners

Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1,213
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1AM ET$396
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$333
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$310
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $144
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$116
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$113
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$104
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$92
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$89

Top Losers

Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?$-652
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-343
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$-318
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?$-109
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-79
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$-72
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?$-67
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$-60
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$-56
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?$-55

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.099
Sortino
0.146
HHI
220
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
21.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2032s — normal for humanCV 2.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.51
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.8%
Mid (20-55c)8.3%
High (>55c)58%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 5:09:54 PM4 trades$10,3472 min
3/9/2026, 10:30:37 PM2 trades$9,9850 min
3/11/2026, 12:55:07 PM2 trades$9,8660 min
3/6/2026, 8:37:49 AM2 trades$9,5915 min
3/5/2026, 4:04:37 PM2 trades$9,5380 min
3/5/2026, 8:03:03 AM2 trades$9,5093 min
3/4/2026, 6:31:45 AM2 trades$9,5000 min
2/28/2026, 10:34:59 PM2 trades$8,7030 min
4/29/2026, 5:08:50 PM2 trades$5,9400 min
4/27/2026, 7:58:46 PM8 trades$5,5162 min
3/13/2026, 11:36:55 AM6 trades$5,3271 min
3/6/2026, 3:15:59 PM2 trades$5,0841 min
3/7/2026, 1:43:43 AM1 trades$4,9650 min
4/1/2026, 5:11:35 AM2 trades$4,9000 min
4/2/2026, 1:31:29 AM1 trades$4,8950 min
3/6/2026, 12:53:15 PM1 trades$4,8670 min
2/28/2026, 11:31:35 PM5 trades$4,8646 min
2/28/2026, 7:43:39 PM2 trades$4,8302 min
2/27/2026, 7:53:35 AM1 trades$4,7990 min
3/6/2026, 10:53:11 AM1 trades$4,7980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-13
11-16
12-14
02-04
03-08
05-11
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.51/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33.8 / M8.3 / H58