@0x10C6e9CfaF95eb5Fe983A3446653A4A432E85FB7-1770484245843

27

0x92aadcecc913084766543ead6d4612465f1c0341

~116d· 3233 markets · 20721 trades2026-08-02 07:42:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (1816/3110)14.2/20
0.65x (win $38,966 / loss $60,128)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8710/15
Sortino -2.9010/10
$-0.1222 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 314 (3110 markets)10/10
45/107 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 2708% of peak ($21,973 / $811)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 6.1 entries/market
Whale
$173,105 invested
High Roller
$1,124/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,478
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$173,105
Total Redeem
$146,670
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3233
total markets
Trades
15840B / 4881S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~116d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
1816W / 1294L events
Realized PnL
$-5,478
Win Rate
58%
1816W / 1294L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-48

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,457 (0.8137178117954195% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$1,866
Ethereum Up or Down on April 24?$1,315
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 24?$1,276
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1,254
Ethereum Up or Down on April 30?$937
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$905
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 26?$852
Ethereum Up or Down on April 28?$650
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?$608
Ethereum Up or Down on April 25?$447

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$-11,076
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-3,530
Ethereum Up or Down on April 27?$-3,526
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?$-2,180
Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?$-890
BNB Up or Down on May 8?$-853
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?$-846
Solana Up or Down on May 8?$-544
BNB Up or Down on May 12?$-500
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-486

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.150
Sortino
-0.119
HHI
189
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.131
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
22.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
134.6
Very active
Markets / Day
21.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.5m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
18 min
Avg Trades / Session
70.6

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 3.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock135 trades/day — automation21 markets/day — mass coverage42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11%
Mid (20-55c)21.5%
High (>55c)67.6%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 9:02:19 PM85 trades$11,63210 min
4/7/2026, 8:37:43 PM49 trades$7,65410 min
4/7/2026, 7:55:47 PM29 trades$7,5185 min
4/1/2026, 4:52:01 PM724 trades$6,04228 min
6/22/2026, 4:44:58 PM165 trades$5,3465 min
4/7/2026, 7:19:17 PM34 trades$5,26331 min
7/10/2026, 8:49:26 PM423 trades$4,41417 min
6/29/2026, 2:36:28 PM36 trades$3,22211 min
6/29/2026, 11:31:35 AM58 trades$2,84219 min
6/29/2026, 1:14:58 PM34 trades$2,51013 min
6/29/2026, 5:18:49 PM33 trades$2,1969 min
3/31/2026, 4:49:45 PM62 trades$2,14512 min
4/2/2026, 6:04:53 PM130 trades$1,86943 min
7/8/2026, 8:14:16 AM92 trades$1,84737 min
4/7/2026, 3:08:23 PM101 trades$1,801109 min
6/29/2026, 7:02:19 PM64 trades$1,76429 min
4/29/2026, 6:04:00 PM130 trades$1,67710 min
4/2/2026, 1:24:07 PM4 trades$1,6140 min
4/2/2026, 8:28:51 PM76 trades$1,60132 min
4/2/2026, 6:57:25 PM125 trades$1,56683 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-07
03-01
03-18
04-04
04-29
06-04
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 111 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11 / M21.5 / H67.6