@HappyBeta

#341,56510

0x92bae198769a0b7134a1ceca2b326b0bffb71d1c

~72d· 285 markets · 4891 tradesVol: $1,615,3732026-08-02 06:37:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

13% (37/285)0/20
0.04x (win $42 / loss $1,003)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -14.8010/15
Sortino -11.7460/10
$-0.7869 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 146 (285 markets)10/10
12/63 profitable days (19%)0/10
Max DD 4523% of peak ($982 / $22)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+39
Lottery Player
83% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
5% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
100% maker orders

Categories

2
CRYPTO#152,748$31Vol: $1,615,309
💻 TECH#19,977$8Vol: $64

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$39
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,615,373
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
285
total markets
Trades
4626B / 265S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
37W / 248L events
Realized PnL
$39
Win Rate
13%
37W / 248L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16 (0.40472560975609756% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$16

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$-66
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 8?$-23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?$-22
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?$-20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 23?$-20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?$-20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 25?$-20
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?$-19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?$-18
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.768
Sortino
-0.772
HHI
95
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.787
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
12.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.2
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.3m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.2

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 109s — normal for humanCV 2.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock34 trades/day — high frequency2.0 markets/day — normal100% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.16
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)82.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)17.4%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 3:28:27 PM9 trades$1037 min
4/21/2026, 12:15:04 PM2 trades$470 min
4/7/2026, 6:16:07 PM2 trades$320 min
6/23/2026, 11:09:05 PM4 trades$193 min
6/28/2026, 5:33:20 AM8 trades$188 min
6/23/2026, 3:25:26 PM3 trades$161 min
6/28/2026, 12:12:04 PM40 trades$1326 min
3/14/2026, 12:57:27 AM1 trades$110 min
3/13/2026, 3:31:37 PM46 trades$1020 min
4/28/2026, 1:06:38 AM38 trades$842 min
6/22/2026, 3:33:56 PM3 trades$82 min
7/8/2026, 12:22:26 AM7 trades$79 min
5/11/2026, 8:31:44 PM7 trades$711 min
6/25/2026, 6:15:10 AM32 trades$717 min
3/13/2026, 2:37:37 AM14 trades$614 min
3/13/2026, 2:11:01 PM8 trades$613 min
6/25/2026, 1:46:34 PM21 trades$618 min
6/26/2026, 3:43:53 AM9 trades$616 min
7/2/2026, 2:31:10 PM11 trades$57 min
6/24/2026, 4:19:31 PM48 trades$579 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-13
03-24
05-10
06-10
06-20
07-01
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 102 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.16/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.5 / M0 / H17.4