@david420

#3,064,95516

0x9416b0ca9df006a64def65021451caba9adf5a15

~181d· 1303 markets · 12090 tradesVol: $3,488,2092026-08-02 07:05:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (686/1292)11.5/20
0.48x (win $41,265 / loss $85,323)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7970/15
Sortino -5.0840/10
$-0.1288 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1951 (1292 markets)2.7/10
54/147 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 15744% of peak ($44,339 / $282)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
76% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 9.3 entries/market
Whale
$342,127 invested
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#1,574,208$-381Vol: $2,072,772
🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,419$-14,152Vol: $643,267
🎭 CULTURE#813,211$-2,113Vol: $360,675
💰 FINANCE#2,225$2,106Vol: $161,887
💻 TECH#258,100$-7,501Vol: $142,612
⚽ SPORTS#1,756,736$-258Vol: $50,403
📈 ECONOMICS#679,238$-1,472Vol: $18,132
📢 MENTIONS#170,563$-276Vol: $11,256
🌤️ WEATHER#295,890$-703Vol: $7,137

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-25,168
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,488,209
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1303
total markets
Trades
8568B / 3522S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~181d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$13
Vol: $0
Month
$12
Vol: $41
All Time
$-25,168
Vol: $3,488,209

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
686W / 606L events
Realized PnL
$-25,168
Win Rate
53%
686W / 606L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
$-143

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,893 (0.3533627647346068% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?$4,159
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?$3,264
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$1,471
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$1,384
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$1,255
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$1,119
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?$1,008
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?$915
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?$896
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$892

Top Losers

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-5,107
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-4,625
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-3,746
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-3,712
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$-3,637
Will Elon register the America Party in July?$-2,842
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-2,468
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-2,054
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,718
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?$-1,416

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.250
Sortino
-0.241
HHI
105
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.129
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
18.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.6
Active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
25.5m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
44.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 3.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock30 trades/day — high frequency3.2 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.32
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.6%
Mid (20-55c)61.8%
High (>55c)23.6%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 1:16:50 AM2 trades$125,0000 min
6/1/2026, 11:58:57 PM7 trades$101,5710 min
6/2/2026, 11:52:38 PM60 trades$93,34018 min
6/4/2026, 12:26:27 AM8 trades$30,0575 min
7/1/2026, 1:10:50 AM21 trades$28,3960 min
6/2/2026, 9:17:45 AM11 trades$20,6310 min
6/7/2026, 8:02:04 PM163 trades$20,53847 min
6/2/2026, 1:22:17 AM19 trades$20,1002 min
6/3/2026, 12:52:10 AM2 trades$20,0000 min
6/2/2026, 10:45:22 AM2 trades$16,6670 min
6/2/2026, 12:35:35 AM4 trades$15,7143 min
6/3/2026, 12:58:12 AM7 trades$12,6570 min
6/4/2026, 1:27:36 AM32 trades$9,82010 min
6/3/2026, 8:54:18 PM10 trades$8,3781 min
6/14/2026, 9:31:37 PM54 trades$8,1569 min
9/7/2025, 7:27:28 PM1 trades$8,1360 min
6/16/2026, 2:19:12 AM936 trades$8,12366 min
6/19/2026, 2:06:26 AM62 trades$8,11410 min
6/19/2026, 12:57:22 PM13 trades$7,7611 min
9/4/2025, 4:47:40 PM2 trades$7,5500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
09-08
10-22
12-23
01-17
03-14
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 393 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.32/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L14.6 / M61.8 / H23.6