@nevrasca123456
#3,069,368100x94a88422bca9af3db3045ddbe5f8f6d3be185204
~13d· 36 markets · 404 tradesVol: $2,227,3062026-08-02 07:41:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
23% (8/35)0/20
0.61x (win $101,610 / loss $165,414)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.0390/15
Sortino -8.3480/10
$-0.3588 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 544 (35 markets)9.8/10
3/13 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($63,804 / $0)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
Whale
$177,803 invested
High Roller
$1,378/day
Categories
2⚽ SPORTS#1,880,451$-32,869Vol: $1,592,067
🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,578$-40,255Vol: $635,238
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-73,124
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,227,306
Total Redeem
$26,667
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
45B / 359S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
23%
8W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-73,124
Win Rate
23%
8W / 27L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$12,701
Avg Loss
$-6,362
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $78,776 (1.077288452120843% of PnL)
Top Winners
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?$45,340
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$26,769
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$6,667
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$5,770
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$5,456
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5$4,542
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$4,511
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$2,556
Top Losers
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-24,500
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-12,000
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-10,783
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?$-10,000
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?$-10,000
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?$-8,000
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-6,000
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?$-6,000
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?$-6,000
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?$-5,988
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.354
Sortino
-0.637
HHI
614
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.373
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.8%
Top-5 markets
48.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.4
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 1.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)44.4%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)22.2%
Sessions
#127/9/2026, 7:39:19 PM30 trades$134,7193 min
7/18/2026, 8:32:58 PM20 trades$110,9352 min
7/15/2026, 5:53:49 PM4 trades$84,9670 min
6/13/2026, 4:36:36 PM38 trades$80,8970 min
7/11/2026, 8:29:52 PM134 trades$60,6481 min
6/13/2026, 6:07:22 PM7 trades$59,4522 min
3/12/2026, 10:28:43 PM5 trades$49,7419 min
7/11/2026, 9:14:50 PM38 trades$41,6374 min
3/29/2026, 8:19:30 AM4 trades$34,8842 min
7/11/2026, 10:51:46 PM30 trades$33,3331 min
4/7/2026, 9:43:49 PM11 trades$31,0300 min
6/15/2026, 3:31:54 PM34 trades$21,9342 min
6/14/2026, 5:09:03 PM23 trades$18,7542 min
7/12/2026, 3:06:40 AM10 trades$10,9671 min
6/16/2026, 12:20:28 AM4 trades$6,8271 min
7/9/2026, 8:11:37 PM7 trades$3,3850 min
7/10/2026, 6:50:47 PM2 trades$1,1170 min
7/15/2026, 6:17:50 PM3 trades$1,1110 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
04-07
06-14
06-16
07-10
07-12
07-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
88.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.43/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.4 / M33.3 / H22.2