MooonWhisper

@MooonWhisper

#2,851,34423

0x9521976da950b0134cd51ac07d3166b26c289e2b

~91d· 168 markets · 1623 tradesVol: $162,0132026-08-02 07:38:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (83/163)10.5/20
0.58x (win $12,113 / loss $20,827)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5440/15
Sortino -2.8170/10
$-0.1600 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 802 (163 markets)8.5/10
28/60 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 1081% of peak ($9,656 / $893)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 9.8 entries/market
Whale
$54,481 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#8,535$3,213Vol: $104,846
💻 TECH#257,953$-4,792Vol: $35,522
🎭 CULTURE#5,709$833Vol: $6,785
💰 FINANCE#23,425$61Vol: $6,559
📈 ECONOMICS#9,141$170Vol: $2,866
SPORTS#1,776,934$-356Vol: $2,346
🌤️ WEATHER#2,856$432Vol: $2,303
📢 MENTIONS#162,353$-90Vol: $297
CRYPTO#213,849$13Vol: $222

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-518
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$162,013
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
168
total markets
Trades
686B / 937S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~91d

Periods

#2
Today
$15
Vol: $0
Week
$-19
Vol: $0
Month
$-23
Vol: $0
All Time
$-518
Vol: $162,013

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
83W / 80L events
Realized PnL
$-518
Win Rate
51%
83W / 80L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$146
Avg Loss
$-260

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,078 (11.733850727827328% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3,190
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$1,472
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$1,416
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$511
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$500
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$496
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?$432
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$358
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$351
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$277

Top Losers

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$-6,079
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-2,962
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,798
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$-1,760
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-1,424
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$-1,001
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-620
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-522
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-473
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$-465

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.132
Sortino
-0.117
HHI
808
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.163
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.7%
Top-5 markets
52.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1218s — normal for humanCV 3.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.3 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.75
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.1%
Mid (20-55c)43.6%
High (>55c)39.4%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 12:45:13 PM12 trades$10,8470 min
6/19/2026, 10:21:23 PM2 trades$8,4980 min
6/15/2026, 9:51:00 AM17 trades$3,5580 min
6/27/2026, 6:07:26 PM12 trades$3,0610 min
6/21/2026, 4:32:34 PM14 trades$3,0314 min
6/21/2026, 4:15:26 PM8 trades$2,1620 min
7/13/2026, 7:45:04 PM8 trades$1,8380 min
6/13/2026, 1:30:39 PM13 trades$1,5530 min
6/27/2026, 9:20:49 AM6 trades$1,5290 min
6/11/2026, 5:56:12 PM25 trades$1,5252 min
6/4/2026, 8:21:06 PM24 trades$1,3191 min
7/14/2026, 9:15:08 PM7 trades$1,3110 min
7/23/2026, 10:47:09 PM4 trades$1,0870 min
7/8/2026, 8:03:14 AM19 trades$1,0410 min
6/21/2026, 12:59:31 PM9 trades$1,0410 min
6/16/2026, 12:21:34 PM3 trades$1,0020 min
6/26/2026, 6:00:29 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
6/5/2026, 11:03:57 PM9 trades$9770 min
5/29/2026, 6:45:42 AM8 trades$9170 min
7/6/2026, 12:03:56 AM1 trades$9000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
04-06
04-24
05-13
05-26
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.75/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L17.1 / M43.6 / H39.4