@jaera
#3,183220x95f79064123a7c1b8f097cd5ff9558de7fa85541
~22d· 83 markets · 2749 tradesVol: $2,388,4042026-08-02 07:56:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (40/83)9.1/20
0.66x (win $145,339 / loss $218,574)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5800/15
Sortino -4.3210/10
$-0.1419 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 367 (83 markets)10/10
9/21 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 229% of peak ($129,996 / $56,761)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+56,502
DCA Master
Avg 33.1 entries/market
Whale
$516,001 invested
High Roller
$21,500/day
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,247$56,502Vol: $2,388,404
Overview
#1Net PnL
$56,502
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,388,404
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
83
total markets
Trades
1886B / 863S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
40W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$56,502
Win Rate
48%
40W / 43L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$3,633
Avg Loss
$-5,083
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $57,904 (1.0248022829448489% of PnL)
Top Winners
Spread: Spain (-4.5)$27,973
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$15,540
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$14,391
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)$11,236
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$8,652
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$8,020
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$6,102
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)$5,581
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$5,212
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5$4,767
Top Losers
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$-40,660
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$-31,692
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$-22,736
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$-18,722
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5$-14,537
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-14,320
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-12,962
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$-11,365
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$-8,083
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-7,539
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.183
Sortino
-0.225
HHI
336
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.142
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.9%
Top-5 markets
28.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
114.5
Very active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
25.0m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
42.0
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
58% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 2.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours12/24 hours — normal schedule115 trades/day — automation3.5 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
33.12
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)7.8%
Mid (20-55c)21.1%
High (>55c)71.1%
Sessions
#127/10/2026, 8:38:32 PM44 trades$51,9121 min
6/27/2026, 10:34:19 PM85 trades$48,4954 min
7/5/2026, 8:02:55 PM53 trades$34,7451 min
6/21/2026, 5:46:35 PM160 trades$34,51311 min
6/21/2026, 7:21:14 PM70 trades$33,1967 min
6/27/2026, 11:49:01 PM67 trades$32,0132 min
6/21/2026, 11:21:40 PM111 trades$31,02421 min
6/22/2026, 5:05:59 PM125 trades$30,1054 min
6/28/2026, 1:23:05 AM124 trades$28,8981 min
6/24/2026, 11:19:16 PM38 trades$21,8570 min
7/10/2026, 8:18:28 PM34 trades$21,7105 min
7/4/2026, 10:29:41 PM33 trades$20,7842 min
6/19/2026, 7:43:41 PM46 trades$20,4542 min
6/27/2026, 1:37:46 AM52 trades$19,43219 min
6/24/2026, 10:40:26 PM36 trades$17,4963 min
7/7/2026, 1:38:19 AM40 trades$16,3668 min
6/28/2026, 12:05:02 AM35 trades$15,1002 min
6/23/2026, 5:29:28 PM85 trades$14,4672 min
7/6/2026, 9:15:46 PM124 trades$13,16823 min
6/27/2026, 1:17:46 AM15 trades$12,6672 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
06-20
06-23
06-26
06-30
07-04
07-08
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 33.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.8 / M21.1 / H71.1