@0x9614b59508b11504bda8ac4fdfbefc2f92d8d217
260x9614b59508b11504bda8ac4fdfbefc2f92d8d217
~67d· 229 markets · 2171 trades2026-08-02 07:57:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
61% (84/138)15.4/20
0.18x (win $65 / loss $369)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.5580/15
Sortino -7.0850/10
$-0.0605 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1290 (138 markets)6.1/10
24/51 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 14054% of peak ($309 / $2)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+26
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$26
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,014
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
229
total markets
Trades
1031B / 1140S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~67d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
61%
84W / 54L events
Realized PnL
$26
Win Rate
61%
84W / 54L
Profit Factor
0.18x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-12
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24 (0.9503324208056315% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$10
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$9
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?$6
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$6
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$3
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$2
Top Losers
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-58
Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision?$-56
Will Quantinuum's market cap be less than $10B at market close on IPO day?$-54
Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates in May?$-38
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$-18
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$-14
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?$-10
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$-8
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-8
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.392
Sortino
-0.309
HHI
60
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.129
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
13.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
30.6
Active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.3
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 390s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency3.2 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.85
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6%
Mid (20-55c)4.9%
High (>55c)89%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 6:56:26 PM17 trades$5,0480 min
7/21/2026, 7:37:01 PM9 trades$2,4606 min
5/29/2026, 6:37:18 AM11 trades$1,9338 min
6/25/2026, 2:10:38 AM2 trades$1,7500 min
7/8/2026, 7:23:50 AM17 trades$6780 min
7/21/2026, 2:36:30 PM21 trades$6697 min
7/13/2026, 2:21:49 PM10 trades$6336 min
5/24/2026, 7:20:20 AM143 trades$54818 min
7/30/2026, 4:08:39 PM20 trades$4162 min
7/27/2026, 4:34:21 AM14 trades$3791 min
5/29/2026, 8:34:56 AM4 trades$3285 min
5/28/2026, 5:43:08 PM4 trades$3113 min
7/17/2026, 8:17:58 PM7 trades$2880 min
6/15/2026, 4:01:09 PM2 trades$2880 min
6/16/2026, 11:35:57 AM8 trades$2650 min
7/29/2026, 8:17:54 PM19 trades$2533 min
7/6/2026, 7:24:04 PM31 trades$2313 min
7/14/2026, 5:21:49 PM60 trades$1670 min
7/14/2026, 5:50:10 PM61 trades$1540 min
7/26/2026, 8:59:18 PM10 trades$1520 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-24
06-05
06-14
06-22
07-03
07-17
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 60 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6 / M4.9 / H89