@S1R1US
190x98597da16fd05b56941d809e16aa86f9ebd41650
~81d· 414 markets · 7494 trades2026-08-02 05:24:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (197/414)8.8/20
0.50x (win $64,293 / loss $129,178)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9840/15
Sortino -3.3820/10
$-0.2972 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 491 (414 markets)10/10
13/55 profitable days (24%)0/10
Max DD 306% of peak ($96,455 / $31,570)0/10
Badges
6Lottery Player
50% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 18.1 entries/market
Whale
$218,328 invested
High Roller
$1,667/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-22,527
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$218,328
Total Redeem
$291
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
414
total markets
Trades
3032B / 4462S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~81d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
197W / 217L events
Realized PnL
$-22,527
Win Rate
48%
197W / 217L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$326
Avg Loss
$-624
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,723 (0.6535828753562456% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9,163
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$3,128
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$2,432
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7PM ET$1,983
Pistons vs. Magic$1,922
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1,452
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1,235
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10PM ET$1,040
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 12AM ET$999
Lakers vs. Rockets$921
Top Losers
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-41,712
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$-14,456
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-7,796
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-6,823
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?$-5,132
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$-3,897
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?$-3,888
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-3,697
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?$-3,239
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-2,711
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.155
Sortino
-0.163
HHI
525
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.297
Kelly %
3.2%
Half-Kelly
1.6%
Top-1 market
18%
Top-5 markets
40%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
57.2
Very active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
31.5m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
40.5
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 3.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock57 trades/day — mass trading3.2 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
18.1
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)50.1%
Mid (20-55c)25.9%
High (>55c)24%
Sessions
#126/3/2026, 10:11:58 PM9 trades$36,2621 min
6/3/2026, 8:32:55 PM8 trades$29,2761 min
6/3/2026, 5:24:36 PM6 trades$27,6661 min
5/29/2026, 11:37:15 PM53 trades$25,5824 min
5/25/2026, 8:49:05 PM29 trades$23,9181 min
5/23/2026, 8:08:10 PM68 trades$15,96411 min
5/21/2026, 5:55:08 PM57 trades$15,6389 min
5/30/2026, 1:53:00 AM18 trades$15,0152 min
5/20/2026, 7:31:52 PM73 trades$14,0304 min
5/6/2026, 12:17:44 AM30 trades$12,8565 min
6/15/2026, 5:29:01 PM23 trades$12,1705 min
5/22/2026, 11:16:06 PM68 trades$11,9633 min
5/20/2026, 9:28:26 AM33 trades$11,2898 min
5/26/2026, 8:00:22 PM120 trades$11,0866 min
5/22/2026, 9:44:44 AM69 trades$11,06915 min
4/28/2026, 9:00:14 PM20 trades$11,0313 min
4/28/2026, 3:13:56 PM2 trades$11,0000 min
6/15/2026, 3:33:21 PM15 trades$10,6973 min
5/24/2026, 9:12:41 AM75 trades$10,6505 min
6/3/2026, 12:03:45 PM6 trades$10,5004 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-17
03-19
04-01
04-29
05-15
05-31
06-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 76 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.1/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.1 / M25.9 / H24