@hephaistus

#3,005,18424

0x9892ef52593bf4407e1ffcea509516bafa53fd59

~49d· 1902 markets · 9701 tradesVol: $524,6552026-08-02 10:43:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (891/1831)9.3/20
0.99x (win $26,429 / loss $26,777)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3780/15
Sortino -0.6160/10
$-0.0051 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 112 (1831 markets)10/10
18/47 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 224695% of peak ($3,842 / $2)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 5.1 entries/market
Whale
$68,021 invested
High Roller
$1,283/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,824,012$-965Vol: $373,322
🏛️ POLITICS#1,594,811$-489Vol: $84,843
CRYPTO#1,571,151$-357Vol: $20,926
💰 FINANCE#639,507$-177Vol: $13,663
🌤️ WEATHER#295,096$-534Vol: $9,621
🎭 CULTURE#13,658$210Vol: $1,992
📈 ECONOMICS#638,377$-32Vol: $1,790
💻 TECH#24,180$5Vol: $840

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,347
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$524,655
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1902
total markets
Trades
3988B / 5713S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,347
Vol: $524,655

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
891W / 940L events
Realized PnL
$-2,347
Win Rate
49%
891W / 940L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,317 (1.8393542642165404% of PnL)

Top Winners

Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 5.5$2,328
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 United States?$1,293
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$696
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5$682
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$670
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$565
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$480
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$456
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$366
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$360

Top Losers

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$-381
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-320
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5$-317
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$-280
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu$-270
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$-268
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-265
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?$-257
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$-199
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$-197

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.020
Sortino
-0.034
HHI
17
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
183.0
Very active
Markets / Day
35.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.3m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
56.4

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 91s — normal for humanCV 1.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock183 trades/day — automation36 markets/day — mass coverage41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.06
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.1%
Mid (20-55c)25.8%
High (>55c)65.2%

Sessions

#12
5/31/2026, 11:01:42 PM45 trades$15,8337 min
6/12/2026, 3:42:09 AM13 trades$15,5401 min
5/31/2026, 8:43:10 PM6 trades$15,0000 min
6/12/2026, 8:20:57 PM10 trades$10,0172 min
5/27/2026, 5:48:43 PM187 trades$9,0276 min
6/14/2026, 12:19:10 AM12 trades$7,5364 min
6/27/2026, 12:45:55 AM30 trades$6,9216 min
6/27/2026, 4:54:46 AM218 trades$6,28544 min
6/15/2026, 9:11:10 PM4 trades$5,0000 min
6/28/2026, 1:27:46 AM95 trades$4,34722 min
6/28/2026, 3:50:16 AM19 trades$4,3461 min
6/25/2026, 10:19:08 PM185 trades$4,18422 min
5/29/2026, 2:37:18 PM147 trades$3,9871 min
5/30/2026, 12:40:23 PM167 trades$2,67964 min
6/26/2026, 4:09:59 AM137 trades$2,61733 min
6/17/2026, 7:11:11 PM10 trades$2,5355 min
5/27/2026, 5:20:58 PM65 trades$2,53518 min
6/18/2026, 1:05:10 AM5 trades$2,5255 min
6/26/2026, 9:09:35 PM108 trades$2,49717 min
5/31/2026, 6:36:13 AM211 trades$2,38319 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-27
06-04
06-12
06-19
06-26
07-03
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.1 / M25.8 / H65.2