@shenaixie

#3,13279

0x98c30ba82c49522585f863caa0db38a7af4eb28d

~10d· 34 markets · 771 tradesVol: $771,8942026-08-02 06:24:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (19/34)12.9/20
1.52x (win $342,725 / loss $225,254)9/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.85515/15
Sortino 10.10310/10
$+0.3560 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 458 (34 markets)10/10
6/10 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($65,625 / $138,230)4.5/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+57,385
DCA Master
Avg 22.7 entries/market
Whale
$330,000 invested
High Roller
$1,274/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

2
SPORTS#2,434$23,628Vol: $703,137
CRYPTO#1,264$33,757Vol: $68,757

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$57,385
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$771,894
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
44B / 727S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
19W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$57,385
Win Rate
56%
19W / 15L
Profit Factor
1.52x
Avg Win
$18,038
Avg Loss
$-15,017

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $127,860 (2.228100252242519% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$51,429
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$46,667
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$29,765
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$27,619
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$24,444
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$23,478
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$19,950
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$19,564
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$15,271
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$12,787

Top Losers

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-20,000
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-20,000
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-20,000
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-20,000
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-20,000
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$-19,852
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$-19,785
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$-19,399
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$-17,257
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-16,553

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.241
Sortino
0.568
HHI
303
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.356
Kelly %
16.5%
Half-Kelly
8.3%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
16.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.46
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
55.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 0.46 — uniform order sizes49% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.68
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.8%
Mid (20-55c)43.2%
High (>55c)50%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 12:09:40 AM275 trades$171,9886 min
6/18/2026, 6:33:19 AM93 trades$94,3271 min
6/14/2026, 9:20:39 AM32 trades$89,0481 min
6/15/2026, 1:42:16 AM85 trades$76,1754 min
6/17/2026, 12:27:32 PM113 trades$69,6911 min
6/22/2026, 11:05:04 AM65 trades$53,2151 min
6/13/2026, 9:16:06 AM37 trades$49,3935 min
6/12/2026, 9:13:12 PM31 trades$34,4740 min
6/12/2026, 4:33:31 PM6 trades$29,3882 min
10/7/2025, 4:23:22 PM2 trades$25,0000 min
6/16/2026, 1:57:33 AM19 trades$16,0870 min
6/16/2026, 3:08:16 PM10 trades$15,2060 min
6/12/2026, 9:03:07 PM2 trades$10,8700 min
10/7/2025, 5:16:02 PM1 trades$10,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-07
06-12
06-13
06-14
06-15
06-16
06-17
06-18
06-19
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
94.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.68/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.8 / M43.2 / H50