@0x98e3078ca8680e961ed67795d77f9d23fe879208
680x98e3078ca8680e961ed67795d77f9d23fe879208
~42d· 139 markets · 618 trades2026-08-02 06:34:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
59% (23/39)14.5/20
1.31x (win $1,125 / loss $862)6.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.63515/15
Sortino 3.80610/10
$+0.0306 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 343 (39 markets)10/10
13/21 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 56% of peak ($312 / $554)2.7/10
Badges
4DCA Master
Avg 5.6 entries/market
Consistent
13/21 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-32
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,584
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
139
total markets
Trades
246B / 372S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
59%
23W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-32
Win Rate
59%
23W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.31x
Avg Win
$49
Avg Loss
$-86
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $379 (11.689389265885254% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$149
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$130
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$100
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?$88
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$73
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?$71
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$54
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$47
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$46
Top Losers
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-283
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-110
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$-105
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-105
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)$-66
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-56
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-49
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$-46
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$-35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$-8
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.135
Sortino
0.180
HHI
43
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.087
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
9.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5759s — normal for humanCV 0.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active3.0 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.59
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.8%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)93.1%
Sessions
#126/22/2026, 4:48:14 PM34 trades$5941 min
6/23/2026, 11:31:31 AM13 trades$3921 min
7/5/2026, 8:00:35 AM7 trades$3661 min
6/27/2026, 8:24:07 PM8 trades$3440 min
6/26/2026, 10:31:08 PM12 trades$3295 min
7/3/2026, 6:02:04 PM8 trades$3131 min
7/17/2026, 7:27:13 AM7 trades$3122 min
7/1/2026, 12:17:25 PM7 trades$3021 min
6/28/2026, 10:24:08 PM11 trades$2830 min
7/17/2026, 3:53:52 PM9 trades$2652 min
6/26/2026, 7:05:50 AM9 trades$2432 min
6/18/2026, 11:47:35 AM23 trades$2284 min
7/19/2026, 9:55:30 PM7 trades$2231 min
6/29/2026, 2:42:19 AM4 trades$2200 min
7/3/2026, 9:21:47 PM7 trades$2193 min
6/27/2026, 3:07:58 AM8 trades$2151 min
7/20/2026, 6:47:21 AM5 trades$2071 min
7/10/2026, 7:53:31 AM6 trades$1992 min
7/13/2026, 8:52:43 AM8 trades$1902 min
6/26/2026, 7:41:04 AM2 trades$1800 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
06-27
07-01
07-05
07-10
07-19
07-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.8 / M6.1 / H93.1