@0x991c7a7860cdd00272f128f8aac611f2b604378a
680x991c7a7860cdd00272f128f8aac611f2b604378a
~70d· 101 markets · 759 trades2026-08-02 06:38:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (31/69)7.5/20
1.65x (win $2,666 / loss $1,612)10.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.65215/15
Sortino 10.69410/10
$+0.0380 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 210 (69 markets)10/10
20/44 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($276 / $1,055)8.8/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+96
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$96
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,751
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
101
total markets
Trades
411B / 348S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~70d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
31W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$96
Win Rate
45%
31W / 38L
Profit Factor
1.65x
Avg Win
$86
Avg Loss
$-50
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,564 (16.33047927325885% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$876
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$366
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$322
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$227
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$216
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$135
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$106
Iran leadership change by June 30?$83
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$70
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$40
Top Losers
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-538
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-449
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-252
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-84
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-58
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$-38
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$-37
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-24
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$-20
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.241
Sortino
0.420
HHI
117
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
14.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 9426s — normal for humanCV 1.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.45
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)27%
Mid (20-55c)2.7%
High (>55c)70.3%
Sessions
#126/20/2026, 4:12:49 PM5 trades$7230 min
4/14/2026, 1:45:13 PM11 trades$5651 min
6/13/2026, 11:46:43 PM4 trades$5580 min
6/9/2026, 11:26:31 PM6 trades$5391 min
5/21/2026, 6:16:14 AM6 trades$5391 min
6/10/2026, 5:33:51 AM7 trades$5382 min
4/22/2026, 6:34:10 AM5 trades$4942 min
6/21/2026, 3:36:05 PM6 trades$4751 min
6/24/2026, 10:16:44 PM3 trades$4610 min
6/17/2026, 12:58:28 AM4 trades$4511 min
6/4/2026, 7:29:54 AM2 trades$4330 min
6/9/2026, 12:17:43 AM3 trades$4180 min
5/17/2026, 10:56:30 AM4 trades$4020 min
5/23/2026, 11:52:50 PM4 trades$3940 min
6/15/2026, 7:34:09 PM2 trades$3890 min
4/25/2026, 7:27:14 AM8 trades$3870 min
5/20/2026, 2:27:55 PM4 trades$3670 min
4/2/2026, 5:26:43 AM3 trades$3580 min
4/24/2026, 3:13:16 AM4 trades$3570 min
4/21/2026, 3:36:36 AM3 trades$3570 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-23
03-28
04-12
05-14
05-24
06-09
06-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27 / M2.7 / H70.3