@LukeDelta

#66,58658

0x99522923ea032ea03080c65f9ad9183d1a292edb

~341d· 1603 markets · 34867 tradesVol: $7,631,6472026-08-02 07:22:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (767/1602)8.9/20
1.22x (win $2,644 / loss $2,169)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.54415/15
Sortino 2.55110/10
$+0.0645 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 367 (1602 markets)10/10
152/305 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 68% of peak ($1,006 / $1,481)0.4/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+1,413
Lottery Player
94% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 21.8 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#22,033$724Vol: $3,398,952
💰 FINANCE#17,468$107Vol: $1,185,166
SPORTS#85,266$213Vol: $1,168,663
🎭 CULTURE#17,139$139Vol: $893,069
📈 ECONOMICS#8,794$181Vol: $575,806
CRYPTO#150,572$33Vol: $140,060
💻 TECH#13,150$20Vol: $125,281
📢 MENTIONS#119,635$-6Vol: $35,099
🌤️ WEATHER#197,119$-1Vol: $18,056

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,413
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,631,647
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1603
total markets
Trades
22687B / 12180S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~341d

Periods

#2
Week
$-13
Vol: $0
Month
$-3
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,413
Vol: $7,631,647

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
767W / 835L events
Realized PnL
$1,413
Win Rate
48%
767W / 835L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $292 (0.2069092427577518% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 NL MVP?$169
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?$62
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?$61
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$38
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$36
Will Google be the most valuable company on October 31?$22
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$19
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$19
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?$19
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?$18

Top Losers

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?$-57
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$-54
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?$-36
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?$-34
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$-30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$-30
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?$-20
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-20
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?$-18
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.081
Sortino
0.109
HHI
741
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.065
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.1%
Top-5 markets
30.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
71.4
Very active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.0m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
40.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.8

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 146s — normal for humanCV 40.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock71 trades/day — mass trading3.3 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.76
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)94.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)5.9%

Sessions

#12
4/12/2026, 3:23:27 PM25 trades$2,41722 min
4/8/2026, 1:23:43 AM5 trades$2,0065 min
4/26/2026, 6:19:22 AM6 trades$2,0023 min
4/16/2026, 3:43:58 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/1/2026, 4:18:04 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/18/2026, 2:02:07 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/28/2026, 2:46:45 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/14/2026, 12:21:07 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
4/12/2026, 11:30:19 AM49 trades$1,9714 min
4/11/2026, 3:53:57 PM6 trades$1,7034 min
5/2/2026, 7:14:40 AM18 trades$4511 min
5/12/2026, 3:09:19 PM16 trades$3661 min
5/4/2026, 2:52:46 AM6 trades$2401 min
5/28/2026, 11:57:32 PM3 trades$2011 min
10/1/2025, 4:54:47 AM7 trades$1721 min
2/28/2026, 6:38:25 AM394 trades$15190 min
4/11/2026, 2:53:21 AM11 trades$6714 min
1/11/2026, 8:54:32 PM2 trades$661 min
4/15/2026, 8:46:16 PM11 trades$467 min
1/22/2026, 12:31:46 PM9 trades$4413 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-31
09-30
12-02
01-23
03-14
05-05
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 112 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.76/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L94.1 / M0 / H5.9