@Sikkifweflles

#2,572,06025

0x995c28aab42c1e202e7444d71212bee64e3c8770

~252d· 469 markets · 1618 tradesVol: $77,8002026-08-02 07:05:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (216/452)8.9/20
0.87x (win $3,616 / loss $4,145)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0060/15
Sortino -1.3680/10
$-0.0221 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 93 (452 markets)10/10
90/178 profitable days (51%)5.1/10
Max DD 253% of peak ($1,135 / $449)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#56,598$127Vol: $38,407
SPORTS#1,710,652$-141Vol: $17,175
💰 FINANCE#46,522$15Vol: $8,147
🎭 CULTURE#85,511$6Vol: $6,011
💻 TECH#246,892$-83Vol: $5,884
📈 ECONOMICS#624,467$-19Vol: $1,060
CRYPTO#268,203$7Vol: $184
📢 MENTIONS#136,196$-15Vol: $152

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-106
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$77,800
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
469
total markets
Trades
924B / 694S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~252d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-67
Vol: $0
Month
$-12
Vol: $0
All Time
$-106
Vol: $77,800

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
216W / 236L events
Realized PnL
$-106
Win Rate
48%
216W / 236L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $603 (5.666604057099924% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$224
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$208
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$172
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$148
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$135
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?$117
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$104
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?$93
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$78
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?$67

Top Losers

OpenAI browser by October 31?$-291
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-229
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-159
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$-156
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-122
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-104
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-92
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$-88
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$-82

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.052
Sortino
-0.063
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
10.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 1.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.14
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.1%
Mid (20-55c)33.8%
High (>55c)50.1%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 5:19:04 AM10 trades$1,4600 min
6/12/2026, 7:31:03 PM19 trades$1,3974 min
6/6/2026, 9:18:13 AM15 trades$1,2391 min
4/14/2026, 5:49:47 AM4 trades$1,1513 min
7/5/2026, 5:56:17 PM11 trades$8150 min
6/14/2026, 10:38:09 PM9 trades$6530 min
4/12/2026, 11:36:47 AM11 trades$6102 min
5/29/2025, 10:50:05 AM6 trades$6067 min
5/23/2026, 6:40:10 PM25 trades$5325 min
3/3/2026, 9:01:51 PM1 trades$5230 min
7/1/2025, 5:50:31 AM7 trades$5049 min
5/28/2026, 10:50:53 AM4 trades$4741 min
8/20/2025, 10:11:50 AM4 trades$4662 min
3/5/2026, 3:40:07 PM9 trades$4528 min
9/2/2025, 9:30:04 PM7 trades$4283 min
5/23/2026, 3:02:07 PM10 trades$4181 min
9/2/2025, 3:24:05 AM1 trades$4000 min
6/13/2026, 6:35:42 AM3 trades$4000 min
7/9/2026, 7:35:50 AM4 trades$4000 min
10/25/2025, 9:09:47 PM30 trades$39326 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
06-12
07-30
09-13
12-15
04-10
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 258 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.1 / M33.8 / H50.1