@mozesang
#3,026,64090x9a51daf0c18a453821b3cfccba24491e49d7ce14
~16d· 82 markets · 357 tradesVol: $74,3142026-08-02 07:43:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
28% (23/82)0/20
0.37x (win $12,423 / loss $33,368)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.1260/15
Sortino -6.2780/10
$-0.5917 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 770 (82 markets)8.6/10
4/16 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($20,944 / $0)0/10
Badges
3Contrarian
66% entries < $0.55
High Roller
$1,967/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,865,396$-3,471Vol: $74,229
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,506
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$74,314
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
82
total markets
Trades
125B / 232S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
28%
23W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$-3,506
Win Rate
28%
23W / 59L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$540
Avg Loss
$-607
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,142 (1.7518289813322685% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$2,758
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$2,058
Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5$1,326
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$1,167
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$984
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$805
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5$469
Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 1.5$468
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$364
Spread: France (-1.5)$334
Top Losers
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-11,844
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$-10,781
Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5$-1,040
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5$-1,018
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5$-988
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5$-847
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5$-792
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$-586
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?$-500
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5$-480
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.310
Sortino
-0.316
HHI
822
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.592
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.8%
Top-5 markets
54.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
19.8
Active
Markets / Day
4.6
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 871s — normal for humanCV 2.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity20 trades/day — very active4.6 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.35
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)19.2%
Mid (20-55c)46.4%
High (>55c)34.4%
Sessions
#126/26/2026, 11:56:46 PM4 trades$10,5791 min
6/24/2026, 6:34:08 PM2 trades$4,8320 min
6/24/2026, 4:36:20 PM3 trades$4,0310 min
6/26/2026, 5:01:20 PM8 trades$3,5634 min
6/26/2026, 1:01:43 AM2 trades$2,9020 min
6/25/2026, 11:25:14 PM21 trades$2,7603 min
6/26/2026, 12:21:05 AM6 trades$2,5611 min
6/27/2026, 11:05:49 PM4 trades$2,1541 min
6/26/2026, 2:05:23 AM4 trades$1,9791 min
6/25/2026, 4:39:10 PM13 trades$1,5665 min
6/20/2026, 10:06:25 PM29 trades$1,5453 min
6/21/2026, 3:55:34 PM10 trades$1,4782 min
6/26/2026, 10:01:01 PM6 trades$1,4024 min
6/26/2026, 9:45:52 PM2 trades$1,3540 min
6/25/2026, 9:02:10 PM4 trades$1,1040 min
6/25/2026, 10:05:55 PM2 trades$1,1040 min
6/25/2026, 6:30:05 PM2 trades$1,0810 min
6/25/2026, 8:13:38 PM2 trades$1,0550 min
6/26/2026, 7:18:55 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/21/2026, 3:14:40 PM2 trades$9950 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
06-17
06-19
06-21
06-23
06-25
06-27
07-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.35/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L19.2 / M46.4 / H34.4