@ujk

#3,040,3969

0x9b9e51ac142e1c4987145f2b9dc552319ba7ae15

~10d· 44 markets · 1847 tradesVol: $498,9562026-08-02 04:14:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (10/44)0/20
0.78x (win $24,677 / loss $31,773)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3040/15
Sortino -3.0320/10
$-0.1249 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1253 (44 markets)6.2/10
4/10 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 308% of peak ($10,513 / $3,418)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20
Whale
$56,812 invested
High Roller
$3,342/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🎭 CULTURE#16,488$148Vol: $342,902
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,883$-10,689Vol: $136,376
💰 FINANCE#1,004$5,394Vol: $19,679

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,147
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$498,956
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
450B / 1397S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
10W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-5,147
Win Rate
23%
10W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$2,468
Avg Loss
$-1,271

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,429 (4.1633650285412305% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$11,203
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$6,284
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$3,941
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$1,378
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$626
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$577
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$331
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$264
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$44
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$29

Top Losers

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-10,513
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-8,958
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-3,655
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-1,656
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-1,242
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-1,054
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-759
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$-702
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$-553
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-519

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.114
Sortino
-0.155
HHI
804
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.125
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.8%
Top-5 markets
54.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
108.6
Very active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
21.2m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
32.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 2.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock109 trades/day — automation2.6 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
41.98
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60%
Mid (20-55c)12.9%
High (>55c)27.1%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 8:18:39 PM80 trades$39,2833 min
6/27/2026, 10:54:37 PM9 trades$18,8530 min
6/12/2026, 3:34:25 PM34 trades$12,62510 min
6/14/2026, 2:22:45 AM7 trades$12,4334 min
6/15/2026, 10:37:03 AM8 trades$10,1910 min
6/15/2026, 5:24:51 AM7 trades$9,9150 min
6/19/2026, 9:06:40 AM25 trades$9,5710 min
6/15/2026, 6:10:33 PM13 trades$8,1750 min
6/19/2026, 11:38:52 AM20 trades$8,1482 min
6/12/2026, 9:26:19 PM9 trades$6,0090 min
6/13/2026, 6:02:25 PM129 trades$5,4849 min
6/15/2026, 6:07:55 AM13 trades$5,4780 min
6/13/2026, 10:28:22 PM70 trades$5,3374 min
6/11/2026, 12:57:39 PM107 trades$5,3149 min
6/15/2026, 8:38:57 AM50 trades$4,8771 min
6/17/2026, 3:20:13 PM42 trades$4,8325 min
6/15/2026, 3:35:16 AM69 trades$4,7256 min
6/13/2026, 4:09:37 PM135 trades$4,6237 min
6/18/2026, 6:25:40 AM158 trades$3,7804 min
6/13/2026, 3:51:06 PM12 trades$3,7407 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-12
06-13
06-14
06-15
06-17
06-18
06-19
06-26
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
75.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 41.98/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60 / M12.9 / H27.1