@0x9C274a7DfE8829cC8E178b27e3fF5eB7bDB5d050-1769494415939

#3,063,3927

0x9c274a7dfe8829cc8e178b27e3ff5eb7bdb5d050

~43d· 53 markets · 797 tradesVol: $2,160,1072026-08-02 04:05:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

13% (7/52)0/20
0.59x (win $53,595 / loss $91,126)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5700/15
Sortino -3.8700/10
$-0.2186 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1094 (52 markets)7/10
3/23 profitable days (13%)0/10
Max DD 180% of peak ($84,734 / $47,203)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20
Whale
$171,722 invested
High Roller
$1,087/day

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,997$-15,047Vol: $1,808,658
💰 FINANCE#656,281$-3,948Vol: $285,541
SPORTS#1,691,464$-113Vol: $1,440
CRYPTO#1,040,051$-5Vol: $38

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20,579
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,160,107
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
226B / 571S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
7W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-20,579
Win Rate
13%
7W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$7,656
Avg Loss
$-2,025

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $51,074 (2.481849639412739% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$27,371
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$19,343
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$4,360
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1,039
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$955
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$520
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?$7

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-23,702
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-20,037
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-8,800
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$-7,894
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-6,195
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-3,858
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$-2,985
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$-2,119
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-2,004
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$-1,800

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.132
Sortino
-0.214
HHI
1664
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.222
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.8%
Top-5 markets
73.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 80s — normal for humanCV 1.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.25
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.1%
Mid (20-55c)27%
High (>55c)11.9%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 6:55:31 AM162 trades$57,1801 min
5/19/2026, 6:41:34 PM52 trades$51,6362 min
5/24/2026, 1:36:55 PM71 trades$46,3746 min
4/5/2026, 1:40:05 PM23 trades$45,2251 min
5/25/2026, 11:59:34 AM23 trades$34,1570 min
5/20/2026, 6:10:20 PM76 trades$31,1432 min
5/20/2026, 5:52:24 PM23 trades$26,4331 min
6/22/2026, 12:05:22 PM20 trades$25,4140 min
4/6/2026, 3:28:11 PM19 trades$25,0441 min
3/5/2026, 5:36:09 PM5 trades$25,0156 min
6/10/2026, 12:07:37 PM62 trades$23,0249 min
3/10/2026, 5:07:45 PM2 trades$19,2431 min
4/5/2026, 4:20:13 PM15 trades$12,3320 min
3/4/2026, 5:42:51 PM3 trades$10,6006 min
3/5/2026, 6:03:17 PM1 trades$10,0640 min
2/26/2026, 1:05:24 PM3 trades$10,0102 min
4/2/2026, 2:26:19 PM16 trades$8,5140 min
3/5/2026, 6:09:45 PM2 trades$6,8001 min
3/2/2026, 12:56:05 PM1 trades$5,2000 min
3/2/2026, 2:46:19 PM1 trades$5,2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-28
02-18
02-24
02-27
03-09
03-21
05-24
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 127 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.25/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.1 / M27 / H11.9