@0x9cc43d556188eef2667643a85182a259b04824b9

22

0x9cc43d556188eef2667643a85182a259b04824b9

~19d· 35 markets · 50 trades2026-08-02 04:12:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (19/32)14.7/20
0.58x (win $73 / loss $125)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3100/15
Sortino -4.9800/10
$-0.0026 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 9001 (32 markets)0/10
10/17 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 236% of peak ($92 / $39)0/10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-64
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,631
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
39B / 11S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
19W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-64
Win Rate
59%
19W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $42 (0.6563779527559055% of PnL)

Top Winners

Cardinals vs. Reds$16
Rays vs. Padres$14
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?$12
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?$7
Angels vs. Mariners$6
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?$5
Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5$4
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?$4
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 19?$1

Top Losers

Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$-14
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?$-14
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$-14
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-19?$-12
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?$-12
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$-12
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?$-12
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-01-10?$-11
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of December?$-10
Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.219
Sortino
-0.293
HHI
219
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
54.9%
Half-Kelly
27.4%
Top-1 market
14.8%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 340s — normal for humanCV 2.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.06
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.7%
Mid (20-55c)15.4%
High (>55c)76.9%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 9:45:42 AM4 trades$5,7801 min
2/27/2026, 6:26:31 PM1 trades$3,0550 min
2/27/2026, 8:30:43 PM1 trades$3,0520 min
7/20/2026, 8:48:34 AM4 trades$2,8920 min
7/20/2026, 10:46:40 AM2 trades$2,8890 min
7/21/2026, 6:08:45 AM4 trades$2,8750 min
7/21/2026, 5:34:40 AM2 trades$2,8680 min
12/30/2025, 10:06:11 AM4 trades$482 min
5/4/2025, 3:37:28 AM3 trades$372 min
2/19/2026, 4:40:00 PM3 trades$361 min
1/7/2026, 1:10:21 AM2 trades$243 min
12/27/2025, 5:35:09 AM2 trades$241 min
2/13/2026, 2:44:15 AM2 trades$215 min
5/17/2025, 4:43:22 PM1 trades$140 min
5/17/2025, 5:38:20 PM1 trades$140 min
5/5/2025, 6:14:12 AM1 trades$130 min
4/29/2025, 12:43:21 PM1 trades$120 min
2/13/2026, 2:54:53 AM1 trades$120 min
4/29/2025, 3:50:08 PM1 trades$110 min
4/26/2025, 10:24:16 PM1 trades$110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-22
04-23
04-25
04-29
05-04
05-17
12-30
02-13
02-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 298 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.7 / M15.4 / H76.9