@0x9e89e2aCE77E71e93784766D4B0d1755D4509a0B-1774888328433

#2,975,6213

0x9e89e2ace77e71e93784766d4b0d1755d4509a0b

~18d· 66 markets · 618 tradesVol: $556,9912026-08-02 08:01:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (20/66)0.2/20
0.44x (win $3,856 / loss $8,747)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.3250/15
Sortino -5.4550/10
$-0.2573 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5424 (66 markets)0/10
6/14 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 690% of peak ($5,721 / $829)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,062$-1,247Vol: $483,528
🌤️ WEATHER#292,248$-279Vol: $38,194
💰 FINANCE#6,325$548Vol: $15,455
CRYPTO#1,541,124$-223Vol: $12,423
🎭 CULTURE#797,492$-250Vol: $3,693
📢 MENTIONS#168,758$-200Vol: $3,143
📈 ECONOMICS#596,315$-10Vol: $556

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,660
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$556,991
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
66
total markets
Trades
177B / 441S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
20W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$-1,660
Win Rate
30%
20W / 46L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$193
Avg Loss
$-199

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,478 (1.4926519303740289% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$1,189
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$703
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$586
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$371
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$199
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$190
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$127
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$80
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$71
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$65

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-3,374
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-2,024
Will Trump dance today?$-1,066
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?$-330
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$-200
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$-180
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-180
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?$-140
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$-120
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$-111

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.269
Sortino
-0.268
HHI
1247
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.257
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.1%
Top-5 markets
73.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
49.5m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 3.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity8 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.36
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.5%
Mid (20-55c)17.5%
High (>55c)22%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 5:47:34 PM7 trades$200,0000 min
4/28/2026, 5:59:22 PM5 trades$125,0002 min
4/22/2026, 3:54:12 AM22 trades$76,6671 min
4/28/2026, 4:38:34 PM19 trades$17,4195 min
4/28/2026, 6:11:54 PM2 trades$16,0000 min
4/21/2026, 5:34:14 PM18 trades$10,7070 min
6/15/2026, 12:31:12 AM34 trades$5,5037 min
4/26/2026, 5:17:22 PM11 trades$5,0823 min
5/14/2026, 4:28:36 PM102 trades$4,51614 min
6/20/2026, 1:40:34 AM52 trades$3,9123 min
5/14/2026, 11:59:39 AM40 trades$3,8062 min
4/22/2026, 3:04:00 AM6 trades$3,4812 min
6/19/2026, 4:02:14 AM16 trades$3,3520 min
5/13/2026, 6:19:26 AM3 trades$3,0210 min
5/31/2026, 5:01:35 AM3 trades$2,5820 min
6/14/2026, 10:31:12 PM2 trades$2,3900 min
6/17/2026, 12:48:19 PM20 trades$2,3710 min
5/6/2026, 6:46:28 AM15 trades$1,8920 min
6/13/2026, 4:35:21 PM10 trades$1,7570 min
4/27/2026, 5:58:02 AM17 trades$1,4860 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-31
04-05
04-22
04-27
05-13
05-31
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 54 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.36/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.5 / M17.5 / H22