@tommyraz

#2,856,27831

0x9f128322dcbc1ae5498a13e1222996b406712640

~320d· 1429 markets · 3818 tradesVol: $48,0102026-08-02 08:00:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (832/1404)14.6/20
0.93x (win $2,230 / loss $2,400)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4860/15
Sortino -0.7820/10
$-0.0129 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 38 (1404 markets)10/10
138/285 profitable days (48%)4.6/10
Max DD 4890% of peak ($612 / $13)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,549,196$-250Vol: $15,787
🎭 CULTURE#764,804$-56Vol: $7,034
🏛️ POLITICS#1,463,033$-50Vol: $6,671
💰 FINANCE#626,876$-81Vol: $6,529
📢 MENTIONS#164,319$-105Vol: $4,240
SPORTS#168,673$48Vol: $2,558
📈 ECONOMICS#628,098$-21Vol: $2,076
🌤️ WEATHER#265,169$-26Vol: $1,865
💻 TECH#52,255$1Vol: $1,226

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-538
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$48,010
Total Redeem
$17
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1429
total markets
Trades
2268B / 1550S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~320d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-47
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-538
Vol: $48,010

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
832W / 572L events
Realized PnL
$-538
Win Rate
59%
832W / 572L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $335 (0.6231902912260486% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$204
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$68
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$63
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$57
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$42
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$40
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$39
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?$37
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?$31

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3 PM ET$-134
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-86
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$-71
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8PM ET$-64
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1 PM ET$-60
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5 PM ET$-57
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-46
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5 PM ET$-46
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9PM ET$-40
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.025
Sortino
-0.034
HHI
36
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
7.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 306s — normal for humanCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal2.9 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.67
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.3%
Mid (20-55c)29.7%
High (>55c)60.1%

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 7:12:42 PM26 trades$3964 min
4/25/2026, 6:38:58 PM7 trades$2651 min
5/11/2026, 10:17:24 PM10 trades$2290 min
6/22/2025, 1:16:18 PM8 trades$21111 min
6/18/2025, 8:12:16 PM12 trades$20019 min
5/26/2026, 5:15:36 PM15 trades$1954 min
4/21/2026, 6:05:34 AM5 trades$1820 min
6/18/2025, 6:06:10 AM7 trades$16711 min
6/6/2025, 3:28:54 AM3 trades$1584 min
6/10/2025, 3:44:47 PM4 trades$1497 min
4/1/2026, 5:05:03 AM8 trades$1471 min
3/31/2026, 8:23:59 PM4 trades$1471 min
6/6/2026, 7:33:45 AM9 trades$1451 min
4/30/2026, 5:13:04 PM6 trades$1441 min
5/6/2026, 2:49:08 AM7 trades$1441 min
6/18/2025, 4:16:30 AM6 trades$1404 min
2/5/2026, 7:51:17 PM2 trades$1401 min
6/22/2026, 3:55:53 PM4 trades$1360 min
6/29/2026, 2:36:52 AM13 trades$1367 min
5/19/2026, 7:05:44 AM4 trades$1340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
05-15
11-01
12-24
02-14
04-17
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 398 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.3 / M29.7 / H60.1