@leothefire1987
#3,047,203360x9f8812daa9a30d2d165a7e7242079b0456bacd62
~25d· 136 markets · 7163 tradesVol: $530,3982026-08-02 07:44:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (59/136)6.7/20
1.05x (win $70,831 / loss $67,704)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3516.6/15
Sortino 0.6466.5/10
$+0.0205 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 1131 (136 markets)6.8/10
10/19 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 86% of peak ($18,811 / $21,937)0/10
Badges
4Contrarian
79% entries < $0.55
Whale
$152,419 invested
High Roller
$2,088/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,307$-8,345Vol: $238,302
₿ CRYPTO#1,660,006$-3,677Vol: $234,478
⚽ SPORTS#8,752$5,276Vol: $57,617
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-6,746
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$530,398
Total Redeem
$9,402
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
136
total markets
Trades
709B / 6454S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
59W / 77L events
Realized PnL
$-6,746
Win Rate
43%
59W / 77L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$1,201
Avg Loss
$-915
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $37,020 (5.487350290525318% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$32,059
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$2,647
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$2,314
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1,802
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$1,653
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)$1,579
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$1,524
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$1,338
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1,065
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$1,048
Top Losers
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-16,440
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$-5,392
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-3,176
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?$-2,646
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$-1,531
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$-1,199
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$-1,156
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26?$-1,084
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$-965
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)$-960
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.018
Sortino
0.029
HHI
1645
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
38.3%
Top-5 markets
60.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
98.1
Very active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
41s
between trades
Avg Gap
25.1m
between trades
Night Trading
55%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
135.0
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 41s — normal for humanCV 4.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)55% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule98 trades/day — mass trading1.9 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
52.67
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.7%
Mid (20-55c)65%
High (>55c)21.3%
Sessions
#125/4/2026, 3:05:52 PM20 trades$36,7090 min
5/12/2026, 12:55:38 AM458 trades$35,46730 min
4/15/2026, 5:09:30 PM45 trades$21,7540 min
5/7/2026, 1:33:08 PM24 trades$19,2791 min
5/11/2026, 2:02:49 AM743 trades$14,38234 min
6/8/2026, 12:52:57 AM166 trades$13,1416 min
5/2/2026, 8:52:54 PM28 trades$11,6824 min
5/11/2026, 5:27:49 PM412 trades$9,27919 min
6/22/2026, 3:40:29 PM43 trades$9,1504 min
5/11/2026, 2:42:13 AM586 trades$9,07635 min
6/1/2026, 6:06:58 PM41 trades$8,8210 min
5/11/2026, 11:43:18 PM473 trades$8,55021 min
5/11/2026, 10:08:52 PM345 trades$7,44621 min
5/11/2026, 7:18:46 PM354 trades$7,39624 min
5/11/2026, 3:22:09 AM425 trades$7,10120 min
5/11/2026, 9:32:12 PM339 trades$6,16010 min
4/30/2026, 2:23:26 PM4 trades$6,0230 min
5/11/2026, 5:03:08 PM220 trades$5,60917 min
4/30/2026, 2:17:16 PM3 trades$5,5840 min
5/9/2026, 11:57:30 PM58 trades$5,16617 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-11
06-03
06-09
06-19
06-23
06-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
90.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 52.67/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L13.7 / M65 / H21.3