@ExcaIibur
#79,757830x9fa8614cf56a2b39b0586e5ffcc8598d7bac593a
~19d· 38 markets · 758 tradesVol: $184,7942026-08-03 00:23:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
70% (16/23)19.8/20
7.87x (win $5,552 / loss $705)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 12.32615/15
Sortino 99.04110/10
$+0.0368 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 2287 (23 markets)1.1/10
8/11 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($255 / $4,986)10/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+1,030
DCA Master
Avg 19.7 entries/market
Whale
$131,874 invested
Consistent
8/11 profitable days
High Roller
$6,941/day
Cool Head
Max DD 5%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#49,114$167Vol: $126,122
⚽ SPORTS#42,157$842Vol: $33,701
🎭 CULTURE#59,584$13Vol: $14,673
💰 FINANCE#21,602$72Vol: $5,227
📈 ECONOMICS#656,919$-90Vol: $4,886
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,030
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$184,794
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
404B / 354S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d
Periods
#2Today
$-1,448
Vol: $17,545
Week
$-968
Vol: $17,545
Month
$-713
Vol: $28,364
All Time
$1,030
Vol: $184,794
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
70%
16W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$1,030
Win Rate
70%
16W / 7L
Profit Factor
7.87x
Avg Win
$347
Avg Loss
$-101
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,009 (2.920486090889678% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$1,323
Iran leadership change by July 31?$963
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$723
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$713
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$325
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$282
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$196
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$167
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$161
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$157
Top Losers
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-224
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-195
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-119
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-76
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-60
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-21
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.615
Sortino
3.753
HHI
1072
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.053
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.4%
Top-5 markets
58.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
39.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.5
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 453s — normal for humanCV 2.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency2.0 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
19.7
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)11.9%
High (>55c)83.9%
Sessions
#127/30/2026, 10:04:50 PM20 trades$14,90610 min
8/2/2026, 2:38:54 AM33 trades$14,65710 min
7/19/2026, 10:54:07 PM21 trades$12,56221 min
7/30/2026, 9:21:50 AM3 trades$7,2590 min
7/24/2026, 2:13:01 PM28 trades$6,83612 min
7/30/2026, 10:34:38 PM11 trades$5,58110 min
7/19/2026, 11:42:54 PM14 trades$5,4864 min
7/15/2026, 12:15:56 PM14 trades$5,4630 min
7/25/2026, 12:12:36 PM20 trades$5,3402 min
8/1/2026, 5:38:50 AM2 trades$4,8860 min
7/26/2026, 2:16:30 PM3 trades$4,7860 min
7/20/2026, 12:46:28 AM9 trades$4,2453 min
7/21/2026, 6:12:09 PM3 trades$4,1110 min
8/1/2026, 4:15:24 AM2 trades$3,9920 min
7/30/2026, 8:23:06 PM19 trades$3,6931 min
7/15/2026, 1:36:02 PM4 trades$3,3940 min
7/16/2026, 9:41:52 PM4 trades$3,3440 min
7/25/2026, 11:07:22 PM3 trades$2,9020 min
7/25/2026, 12:46:40 PM10 trades$2,3601 min
7/16/2026, 5:35:59 PM2 trades$2,2812 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-06-30 23:55:00
2026-07-15 23:59:00
2026-07-20 03:59:00
2026-07-24 23:59:00
2026-07-29 00:00:00
2026-07-31 00:00:00
2026-07-31 11:59:00
2026-07-31 23:59:00
2026-08-31 23:59:00
2026-11-01 00:00:00
2026-12-31 00:00:00
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.2 / M11.9 / H83.9