@adexer
#2,764,68160x9fef4cee75872793ada2c765f422719d9e684c41
~45d· 177 markets · 326 tradesVol: $29,2702026-08-02 07:03:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
16% (28/172)0/20
0.50x (win $228 / loss $460)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.0620/15
Sortino -7.0840/10
$-0.3903 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1323 (172 markets)5.9/10
9/40 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($232 / $0)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
71% entries < $0.20
Categories
9🎭 CULTURE#758,383$-47Vol: $10,646
🏛️ POLITICS#1,168,467$-6Vol: $7,224
₿ CRYPTO#1,505,215$-143Vol: $5,506
💰 FINANCE#624,253$-69Vol: $1,596
📢 MENTIONS#39,932$1Vol: $1,123
💻 TECH#223,674$-9Vol: $666
📈 ECONOMICS#475,708$-1Vol: $13
⚽ SPORTS#952,185$-1Vol: $11
🌤️ WEATHER#53,202$1Vol: $2
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-279
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,270
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
177
total markets
Trades
225B / 101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-279
Vol: $29,270
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
16%
28W / 144L events
Realized PnL
$-279
Win Rate
16%
28W / 144L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-3
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $122 (0.43923959827833575% of PnL)
Top Winners
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?$64
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?$26
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$13
Will Trump say "Black American" 5+ times during the Black History Month reception?$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$9
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$7
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$6
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$5
Top Losers
Prince Andrew released by February 21?$-21
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?$-18
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$-18
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?$-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$-16
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 24?$-11
Prince Andrew released by February 20?$-10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.313
Sortino
-0.426
HHI
125
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.407
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
16.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 142s — normal for humanCV 1.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.83
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)71.1%
Mid (20-55c)24.9%
High (>55c)4%
Sessions
#126/28/2026, 1:00:35 PM4 trades$9600 min
6/21/2026, 9:44:20 AM13 trades$5876 min
6/30/2026, 6:28:02 AM2 trades$5000 min
6/30/2026, 3:27:47 PM2 trades$5000 min
6/7/2026, 12:49:36 PM5 trades$1861 min
6/26/2026, 3:39:31 PM6 trades$1120 min
6/21/2026, 1:29:23 PM8 trades$1061 min
5/1/2026, 12:22:00 PM19 trades$8915 min
2/28/2026, 2:26:59 AM1 trades$730 min
7/2/2026, 7:12:43 AM8 trades$450 min
6/22/2026, 1:56:07 PM6 trades$448 min
5/19/2026, 7:36:28 AM3 trades$430 min
2/19/2026, 5:19:08 PM4 trades$388 min
6/7/2026, 12:55:36 PM2 trades$360 min
3/2/2026, 1:22:13 PM2 trades$322 min
3/2/2026, 5:51:41 PM6 trades$329 min
3/3/2026, 10:46:25 AM10 trades$327 min
2/17/2026, 6:00:03 PM8 trades$319 min
6/21/2026, 1:35:26 PM2 trades$260 min
2/18/2026, 6:43:22 PM2 trades$254 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-24
02-18
02-25
03-05
03-14
05-09
06-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.83/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L71.1 / M24.9 / H4