@rodneyerickson

#1,888,65153

0xa00c2a23d522838efd88da54f56bfc2759834a25

~25d· 42 markets · 70 tradesVol: $26,0552026-08-02 06:24:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (23/37)16.1/20
1.14x (win $147 / loss $129)4.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.23915/15
Sortino 2.01010/10
$+0.0008 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7974 (37 markets)0/10
14/23 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 266% of peak ($48 / $18)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Consistent
14/23 profitable days

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#205,358$6Vol: $10,463
SPORTS#169,908$47Vol: $9,440
📈 ECONOMICS#572,063$-5Vol: $5,940
🎭 CULTURE#763,163$-53Vol: $128
CRYPTO#1,077,317$-6Vol: $74
💻 TECH#87,883$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,055
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
46B / 24S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-9
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-12
Vol: $26,055

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
23W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-12
Win Rate
62%
23W / 14L
Profit Factor
1.14x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $69 (5.953084274543874% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?$31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$22
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-11?$16
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?$15
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$11
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?$6
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$6
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Apr 18?$6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?$6
Dogecoin above $0.16 on April 18?$5

Top Losers

Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5$-14
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?$-14
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-15?$-14
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?$-13
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-12
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 7?$-12
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 2–9?$-11
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?$-10
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$-10
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.063
Sortino
0.098
HHI
58
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
57.7%
Half-Kelly
28.8%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
7.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
29.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1786s — normal for humanCV 2.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.16
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.2%
Mid (20-55c)26.1%
High (>55c)71.7%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 4:23:11 AM2 trades$2,9710 min
7/29/2026, 5:32:09 AM2 trades$2,9710 min
7/29/2026, 5:40:35 AM2 trades$2,9380 min
7/29/2026, 6:12:33 AM13 trades$2,9380 min
7/29/2026, 6:21:18 AM2 trades$2,9340 min
7/29/2026, 6:56:56 AM2 trades$2,9340 min
3/7/2026, 9:02:17 PM1 trades$1,6250 min
3/7/2026, 9:56:31 PM1 trades$1,6230 min
3/7/2026, 10:26:17 PM1 trades$1,6230 min
3/7/2026, 11:18:05 PM1 trades$1,6220 min
2/12/2026, 10:56:57 PM4 trades$5410 min
1/21/2026, 3:01:02 AM3 trades$365 min
1/14/2026, 4:55:00 AM3 trades$362 min
3/13/2026, 9:20:19 PM2 trades$233 min
2/18/2026, 12:43:57 AM2 trades$231 min
6/17/2026, 7:23:52 AM2 trades$230 min
6/9/2026, 8:32:12 PM2 trades$160 min
1/7/2026, 2:28:11 AM1 trades$140 min
1/7/2026, 2:18:45 AM1 trades$140 min
6/5/2026, 12:05:00 AM2 trades$140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-22
04-14
04-17
05-08
01-07
02-12
03-13
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 304 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.2 / M26.1 / H71.7