@RobertCZ
#2,908,740100xa0bb2cf510964a44301f8547ffc824ed19ba2a16
~76d· 109 markets · 605 tradesVol: $67,1902026-08-02 06:52:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
18% (15/85)0/20
0.45x (win $3,148 / loss $6,937)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.3380/15
Sortino -5.9790/10
$-0.4142 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 434 (85 markets)10/10
13/53 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 441% of peak ($4,899 / $1,110)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,607,223$-784Vol: $54,581
📈 ECONOMICS#637,446$-31Vol: $6,650
⚽ SPORTS#849,011$-1Vol: $3,283
₿ CRYPTO#1,150,527$-10Vol: $2,000
💰 FINANCE#620,660$-57Vol: $400
🌤️ WEATHER#230,253$-5Vol: $270
🎭 CULTURE#92,948$5Vol: $6
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-883
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$67,190
Total Redeem
$829
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
109
total markets
Trades
291B / 314S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~76d
Periods
#2Today
$25
Vol: $0
Week
$-54
Vol: $0
Month
$22
Vol: $0
All Time
$-883
Vol: $67,190
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
18%
15W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$-883
Win Rate
18%
15W / 70L
Profit Factor
0.45x
Avg Win
$210
Avg Loss
$-104
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,538 (1.7411093373187052% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$719
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$450
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$369
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$367
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$257
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$213
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$144
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$133
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$130
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$130
Top Losers
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$-1,091
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-463
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$-332
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-278
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-252
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-226
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$-211
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-169
Iran leadership change by May 31?$-168
Iran leadership change by June 30?$-156
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.277
Sortino
-0.333
HHI
207
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.509
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
24.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 337s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.87
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)68.7%
Mid (20-55c)24.7%
High (>55c)6.5%
Sessions
#124/24/2026, 10:59:54 PM4 trades$2,3000 min
4/24/2026, 10:12:30 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/3/2026, 2:59:03 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/5/2026, 3:51:24 PM8 trades$1,5524 min
4/25/2026, 8:39:40 PM20 trades$1,0684 min
4/10/2026, 9:48:55 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/19/2026, 10:25:18 PM17 trades$99612 min
4/16/2026, 8:57:12 PM12 trades$9954 min
4/29/2026, 5:38:40 PM32 trades$95810 min
4/28/2026, 8:22:40 PM10 trades$9526 min
4/29/2026, 5:13:30 PM6 trades$9002 min
4/24/2026, 7:00:36 AM10 trades$8524 min
5/23/2026, 10:14:34 PM6 trades$8190 min
4/19/2026, 10:05:06 PM13 trades$7194 min
7/8/2026, 9:09:20 AM14 trades$6500 min
4/5/2026, 10:03:37 PM4 trades$6200 min
6/7/2026, 8:19:43 PM2 trades$6000 min
6/18/2026, 10:56:05 PM2 trades$6000 min
6/7/2026, 7:38:15 PM16 trades$5826 min
4/8/2026, 11:40:59 AM27 trades$5753 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
02-15
03-16
04-10
04-22
05-23
06-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 94 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.87/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68.7 / M24.7 / H6.5