pdesirae

@pdesirae

#162,18860

0xa1d896d21cfb6988c69718912294c3af27011fa0

~35d· 47 markets · 126 tradesVol: $16,4552026-08-02 06:24:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (11/34)1.2/20
5.30x (win $369 / loss $70)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.41115/15
Sortino 18.71510/10
$+0.0263 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 922 (34 markets)7.9/10
7/30 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($55 / $314)10/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+235
Cool Head
Max DD 18%

Categories

5
SPORTS#87,588$200Vol: $7,898
🏛️ POLITICS#105,698$36Vol: $7,415
🎭 CULTURE#533,271$-1Vol: $1,030
CRYPTO#531,620$0Vol: $91
💰 FINANCE#290,554$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$235
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,455
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
69B / 57S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$235
Vol: $16,455

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
11W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$235
Win Rate
32%
11W / 23L
Profit Factor
5.3x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $329 (1.4004850238257316% of PnL)

Top Winners

Heat vs. Magic$117
Timberwolves vs. Rockets$113
Bruins vs. Rangers$99
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?$23
Who will speak more at VP Debate?$16
Ethena USDe flips USDC market cap in 2024?$0
Ethena crash in 2024?$0
Will Berachain launch in 2024?$0
Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024?$0
Tether Insolvent in 2024?$0

Top Losers

Dolphins vs. Patriots$-55
Rangers vs. Orioles$-6
Orioles vs. Guardians$-3
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$-1
Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-1
Will Elon tweet 775-799 times March 7-14?$-1
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$-1
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-0
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.279
Sortino
0.812
HHI
3
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.501
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
3.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 218s — normal for humanCV 1.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.53
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.2%
Mid (20-55c)14.5%
High (>55c)78.3%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 5:40:26 PM12 trades$1,8124 min
7/8/2026, 1:08:32 PM18 trades$1,8114 min
7/8/2026, 12:16:13 AM12 trades$1,8106 min
7/8/2026, 9:32:46 PM10 trades$1,8075 min
7/7/2026, 6:58:10 PM12 trades$1,8062 min
7/6/2026, 3:31:04 PM6 trades$9012 min
7/9/2026, 3:16:55 PM4 trades$9010 min
12/29/2024, 10:16:38 PM5 trades$1096 min
12/26/2024, 1:02:28 PM1 trades$1040 min
12/27/2024, 6:55:40 AM1 trades$1040 min
1/2/2025, 9:03:42 AM1 trades$1040 min
10/6/2024, 2:40:55 PM1 trades$550 min
10/2/2024, 12:26:32 PM1 trades$320 min
10/1/2024, 6:51:08 AM1 trades$100 min
6/24/2025, 12:36:13 PM1 trades$60 min
5/12/2025, 6:23:40 AM1 trades$50 min
5/12/2025, 11:14:26 AM1 trades$50 min
4/30/2025, 9:07:59 AM1 trades$50 min
4/30/2025, 10:50:13 AM1 trades$50 min
4/23/2025, 4:23:18 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-01
12-29
03-31
04-16
04-30
05-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.2 / M14.5 / H78.3