@JosephIsGreat
#100,251100xa204c9cfab0569f2623d2ec6fdbf26a986ddbf99
~62d· 152 markets · 2678 tradesVol: $1,052,7842026-08-02 06:21:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
17% (26/150)0/20
0.46x (win $18,174 / loss $39,206)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4350/15
Sortino -3.9310/10
$-0.2465 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 461 (150 markets)10/10
14/47 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 3583% of peak ($21,636 / $604)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+676
Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20
Whale
$85,333 invested
High Roller
$1,094/day
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#1,552,770$-172Vol: $810,025
📈 ECONOMICS#677,113$-809Vol: $129,056
💰 FINANCE#640,563$-196Vol: $53,114
⚽ SPORTS#23,767$1,841Vol: $51,440
🌤️ WEATHER#278,012$-59Vol: $6,059
Overview
#1Net PnL
$676
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,052,784
Total Redeem
$11,252
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
152
total markets
Trades
962B / 1716S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
17%
26W / 124L events
Realized PnL
$676
Win Rate
17%
26W / 124L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$699
Avg Loss
$-370
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,902 (17.597241114199537% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$8,258
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-02?$2,568
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$1,076
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-14?$1,073
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?$738
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$665
Will Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?$646
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$505
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$464
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$443
Top Losers
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-13,094
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-4,484
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,909
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-1,728
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-1,458
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$-1,389
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$-1,118
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$-966
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-941
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-878
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.178
Sortino
-0.188
HHI
2292
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.247
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
46.5%
Top-5 markets
66%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
34.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.5
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 316s — normal for humanCV 5.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity34 trades/day — high frequency1.9 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
17.76
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)61.7%
Mid (20-55c)17.2%
High (>55c)21.1%
Sessions
#124/12/2026, 9:39:27 PM89 trades$34,15213 min
5/30/2026, 11:51:00 AM21 trades$24,5380 min
5/29/2026, 3:00:13 PM13 trades$16,3421 min
6/15/2026, 10:06:31 AM4 trades$16,2403 min
5/15/2026, 6:52:43 PM12 trades$16,1860 min
4/7/2026, 11:02:01 PM42 trades$13,5470 min
4/16/2026, 1:10:12 PM50 trades$11,7863 min
5/11/2026, 5:29:20 PM2 trades$11,1110 min
5/9/2026, 11:02:08 AM7 trades$11,0990 min
5/29/2026, 2:53:22 PM19 trades$10,2162 min
5/22/2026, 11:56:00 PM8 trades$10,1251 min
4/17/2026, 10:57:48 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
5/22/2026, 2:38:18 PM5 trades$9,4380 min
5/22/2026, 3:38:49 PM4 trades$9,1890 min
4/21/2026, 4:15:34 PM6 trades$8,5426 min
5/12/2026, 1:57:04 PM22 trades$8,48521 min
6/16/2026, 1:52:19 PM8 trades$8,3461 min
6/1/2026, 1:27:31 PM27 trades$7,4022 min
4/27/2026, 10:10:58 PM2 trades$6,6670 min
4/12/2026, 11:36:23 PM40 trades$6,2578 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-07
04-18
04-29
05-06
05-14
05-23
06-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 68 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.76/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.7 / M17.2 / H21.1