@illyasviel

#518,84233

0xa2d0db20adb0cc9d0b74dd833582d9d874440823

~7d· 10 markets · 48 tradesVol: $13,7672026-08-02 07:04:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (2/7)0/20
1.99x (win $32 / loss $16)14.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.1088 per $1 invested5.4/10
HHI 2102 (7 markets)2/10
2/6 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($2 / $16)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+8
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 13%

Categories

3
📈 ECONOMICS#635,746$-29Vol: $12,007
💰 FINANCE#59,713$8Vol: $1,404
🏛️ POLITICS#791,862$-0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,767
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10
total markets
Trades
19B / 29S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-26
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$8
Vol: $13,767

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
2W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$8
Win Rate
29%
2W / 5L
Profit Factor
1.99x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $32 (3.9676214196762145% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$24
Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$7

Top Losers

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?$-14
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.527
Sortino
inf
HHI
1804
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.116
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26%
Top-5 markets
91.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
6/24
Normal
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1136s — normal for humanCV 1.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern6/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.43
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)52.6%
Mid (20-55c)21.1%
High (>55c)26.3%

Sessions

#12
1/31/2026, 3:39:02 AM3 trades$643 min
7/29/2026, 2:47:06 PM2 trades$400 min
7/12/2026, 2:48:37 PM13 trades$311 min
7/17/2026, 1:40:54 PM2 trades$290 min
7/19/2026, 3:10:01 AM2 trades$280 min
7/18/2026, 10:30:33 AM3 trades$130 min
7/17/2026, 11:06:55 AM4 trades$122 min
7/19/2026, 11:20:19 AM2 trades$100 min
7/12/2026, 3:00:05 PM7 trades$60 min
7/18/2026, 3:06:12 PM2 trades$60 min
7/18/2026, 2:36:25 PM4 trades$41 min
1/25/2026, 10:20:56 AM1 trades$20 min
7/18/2026, 11:02:09 AM2 trades$20 min
1/25/2026, 10:02:00 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
01-31
07-12
07-17
07-19
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.43/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52.6 / M21.1 / H26.3