
@tiburcio
#143,383530xa2f4968c8823aad5ca2f337753ed7a399d893b52
~50d· 96 markets · 477 tradesVol: $1,377,4492026-08-02 05:19:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
90% (69/77)20/20
1.12x (win $4,210 / loss $3,768)4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4047.6/15
Sortino 0.9279.3/10
$+0.0077 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 2052 (77 markets)2.2/10
22/28 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 83% of peak ($2,170 / $2,604)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+309
Whale
$57,673 invested
Consistent
22/28 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,630,933$-3,217Vol: $1,331,304
₿ CRYPTO#13,095$3,539Vol: $31,634
📈 ECONOMICS#637,631$-31Vol: $5,266
🌤️ WEATHER#17,767$17Vol: $2,206
🎭 CULTURE#33,147$43Vol: $1,693
⚽ SPORTS#295,938$8Vol: $484
💰 FINANCE#79,579$4Vol: $306
📢 MENTIONS#48,055$0Vol: $24
Overview
#1Net PnL
$309
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,377,449
Total Redeem
$237
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
96
total markets
Trades
199B / 278S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$309
Vol: $1,377,449
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
90%
69W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$309
Win Rate
90%
69W / 8L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$61
Avg Loss
$-471
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,880 (12.562783318223028% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31? $3,514
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs$203
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$163
US forces in Venezuela by October 31?$43
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$42
Will Elon tweet 550–574 times August 8–August 15?$41
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?$38
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$24
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$14
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-985
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-948
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-664
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-500
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$-360
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?$-272
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$-34
Will António José Seguro win more than 22% of votes in the first round?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.021
Sortino
0.038
HHI
1480
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
35.9%
Half-Kelly
17.9%
Top-1 market
33%
Top-5 markets
62.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.8m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 104s — normal for humanCV 3.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.73
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.6%
Mid (20-55c)2%
High (>55c)76.4%
Sessions
#127/23/2025, 10:24:52 PM28 trades$13,46457 min
7/26/2025, 12:28:45 PM2 trades$10,0491 min
7/23/2025, 1:39:59 PM1 trades$8,3550 min
7/23/2025, 11:56:34 PM5 trades$4,46911 min
7/24/2025, 12:13:32 AM4 trades$3,5644 min
10/29/2024, 6:47:58 AM1 trades$2,9870 min
6/6/2026, 2:31:36 PM8 trades$2,2886 min
11/5/2024, 11:31:33 PM1 trades$2,0380 min
1/28/2026, 3:26:09 PM40 trades$1,9598 min
1/4/2026, 5:53:13 PM15 trades$1,83820 min
11/1/2025, 8:11:55 PM5 trades$1,6775 min
7/19/2026, 10:29:34 AM17 trades$1,6752 min
6/6/2026, 2:03:54 PM14 trades$1,6634 min
10/20/2025, 2:43:01 PM6 trades$1,6379 min
4/25/2026, 9:12:04 PM14 trades$1,4037 min
7/11/2026, 1:02:59 PM7 trades$1,3842 min
8/17/2025, 9:51:24 AM2 trades$1,2950 min
8/15/2025, 3:42:10 AM2 trades$1,2943 min
7/23/2025, 7:55:15 PM3 trades$1,2895 min
5/14/2026, 9:40:30 AM8 trades$1,2746 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
08-15
09-05
10-20
01-06
03-01
05-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 315 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.6 / M2 / H76.4