@0xa3386cc08ecec4e8119a497a616ba7801934bcaf

#3,051,59929

0xa3386cc08ecec4e8119a497a616ba7801934bcaf

~18d· 27 markets · 244 tradesVol: $136,8982026-08-02 05:27:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (17/27)16.5/20
0.24x (win $9,415 / loss $39,670)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.1180/15
Sortino -5.8580/10
$-0.4139 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1366 (27 markets)5.7/10
5/9 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 1488% of peak ($32,826 / $2,206)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 63%
DCA Master
Avg 9.0 entries/market
Whale
$73,105 invested
High Roller
$1,589/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,811$-6,200Vol: $86,212
SPORTS#1,841,555$-1,444Vol: $35,564
CRYPTO#1,563,015$-309Vol: $14,493
🎭 CULTURE#801,514$-349Vol: $629

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,302
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$136,898
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
76B / 168S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
17W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-8,302
Win Rate
63%
17W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$554
Avg Loss
$-4,959

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,491 (0.7818489520597446% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$2,248
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,154
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,088
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?$561
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$517
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?$385
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$381
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$346
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$185
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$168

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-19,208
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-13,618
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$-3,134
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-1,588
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-1,473
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-323
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-286
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.302
Sortino
-0.211
HHI
1470
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.414
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.2%
Top-5 markets
78.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
21.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1304s — normal for humanCV 1.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.04
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.3%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)88.2%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 11:26:25 PM13 trades$17,6270 min
6/13/2026, 11:20:36 PM13 trades$17,0420 min
6/7/2026, 11:00:52 PM12 trades$9,7091 min
5/31/2026, 9:57:58 AM9 trades$7,6000 min
7/10/2026, 6:43:19 AM4 trades$6,7271 min
6/11/2026, 11:12:39 PM8 trades$5,6661 min
6/1/2026, 8:32:40 AM2 trades$5,3700 min
5/31/2026, 1:09:18 PM2 trades$4,5780 min
6/20/2026, 5:03:16 AM8 trades$2,8341 min
7/10/2026, 2:00:40 AM2 trades$2,7900 min
5/26/2026, 12:56:24 PM4 trades$2,7612 min
6/1/2026, 8:37:55 AM3 trades$2,5770 min
6/20/2026, 4:10:31 PM7 trades$2,5227 min
5/31/2026, 1:19:34 PM3 trades$2,2950 min
5/30/2026, 12:49:51 AM3 trades$1,9380 min
6/19/2026, 7:00:37 AM4 trades$1,6801 min
6/19/2026, 12:38:04 PM11 trades$1,6652 min
6/20/2026, 1:31:20 AM5 trades$1,5531 min
6/20/2026, 2:19:13 AM4 trades$1,3380 min
6/20/2026, 2:36:25 AM2 trades$1,2450 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-31
06-01
06-07
06-08
06-13
06-19
06-20
07-08
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.3 / M10.5 / H88.2