@CapitanGrow
#126,532860xa3ee2ddf7f85e203b04b5c62cb12ae399af17030
~36d· 37 markets · 633 tradesVol: $90,6242026-08-02 07:58:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
57% (17/30)13.3/20
4.10x (win $18,447 / loss $4,497)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.43115/15
Sortino 30.54410/10
$+0.6030 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1378 (30 markets)5.6/10
10/17 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($1,981 / $13,949)10/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+408
DCA Master
Avg 16.1 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#27,925$476Vol: $60,346
📈 ECONOMICS#649,414$-56Vol: $12,336
💰 FINANCE#11,076$238Vol: $12,261
🎭 CULTURE#793,179$-190Vol: $3,051
🌤️ WEATHER#278,086$-60Vol: $2,538
💻 TECH#58,304$0Vol: $92
Overview
#1Net PnL
$408
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$90,624
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
265B / 368S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d
Periods
#2Today
$9
Vol: $102
Week
$220
Vol: $102
Month
$6
Vol: $102
All Time
$408
Vol: $90,624
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
57%
17W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$408
Win Rate
57%
17W / 13L
Profit Factor
4.1x
Avg Win
$1,085
Avg Loss
$-346
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,264 (32.47994514912581% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$10,453
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1,882
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$930
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$887
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$739
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$678
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$669
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$374
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$327
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?$319
Top Losers
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$-1,522
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,105
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$-900
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$-480
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-168
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$-84
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?$-80
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14?$-69
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$-38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14?$-23
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.276
Sortino
1.279
HHI
430
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.834
Kelly %
30.0%
Half-Kelly
15.0%
Top-1 market
12.7%
Top-5 markets
38.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 326s — normal for humanCV 1.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.1
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.6%
Mid (20-55c)15.5%
High (>55c)70.9%
Sessions
#125/25/2026, 12:24:46 PM23 trades$12,6760 min
7/30/2026, 2:00:42 PM5 trades$3,3590 min
6/13/2026, 4:46:25 PM25 trades$2,7810 min
6/15/2026, 1:06:33 PM14 trades$2,4862 min
6/14/2026, 9:30:25 PM19 trades$2,0471 min
5/29/2026, 2:52:28 PM18 trades$1,8790 min
7/24/2026, 3:15:39 PM13 trades$1,5150 min
6/29/2026, 11:32:19 AM55 trades$1,4544 min
6/11/2026, 5:29:37 PM12 trades$1,0243 min
5/31/2026, 11:28:31 PM6 trades$1,0020 min
5/30/2026, 8:34:20 PM11 trades$9580 min
7/24/2026, 4:13:01 PM8 trades$9140 min
6/25/2026, 10:35:22 AM2 trades$8910 min
6/13/2026, 5:20:49 PM4 trades$7703 min
5/24/2026, 2:11:44 PM7 trades$7520 min
7/30/2026, 2:47:30 PM4 trades$6485 min
6/17/2026, 2:02:07 PM9 trades$6400 min
7/30/2026, 3:21:41 PM2 trades$6190 min
6/14/2026, 8:08:04 AM16 trades$5519 min
6/29/2026, 12:25:28 PM1 trades$5430 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-16
05-25
06-07
06-09
06-14
06-19
06-28
06-30
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 7 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.6 / M15.5 / H70.9