@0xA4C8e06a8aaAa459D22158640915761e091BB0ec-1770985522535
#2,904,08000xa4c8e06a8aaaa459d22158640915761e091bb0ec
~24d· 31 markets · 179 tradesVol: $72,4572026-08-02 06:40:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
4% (1/27)0/20
0.20x (win $489 / loss $2,392)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.0040/15
Sortino -7.0320/10
$-0.5169 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2950 (27 markets)0/10
1/16 profitable days (6%)0/10
Max DD 566% of peak ($2,310 / $408)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
87% entries < $0.20
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,606,644$-764Vol: $67,799
₿ CRYPTO#1,213,916$-15Vol: $2,500
⚽ SPORTS#1,616,645$-60Vol: $2,159
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-839
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$72,457
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
55B / 124S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d
Periods
#2Week
$-36
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-839
Vol: $72,457
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
4%
1W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-839
Win Rate
4%
1W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$489
Avg Loss
$-100
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $489 (0.5829074491023671% of PnL)
Top Winners
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$489
Top Losers
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$-907
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-496
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$-262
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$-133
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$-102
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-96
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$-66
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-64
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$-44
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$-35
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.355
Sortino
-0.392
HHI
741
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.857
Kelly %
0.5%
Half-Kelly
0.2%
Top-1 market
21.4%
Top-5 markets
47.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
31
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 248s — normal for humanCV 1.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.93
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)87.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)12.7%
Sessions
#125/29/2026, 7:59:03 AM60 trades$11,9966 min
5/26/2026, 6:23:28 AM19 trades$3,3572 min
4/16/2026, 12:36:52 PM2 trades$3,0000 min
7/3/2026, 8:28:46 AM7 trades$1,9570 min
7/31/2026, 2:41:44 PM3 trades$1,3860 min
4/1/2026, 7:15:13 AM2 trades$9970 min
4/8/2026, 12:29:39 AM8 trades$8840 min
6/27/2026, 7:43:02 PM4 trades$8430 min
2/15/2026, 7:58:13 PM1 trades$6540 min
4/9/2026, 12:18:45 PM20 trades$6318 min
7/25/2026, 4:43:33 PM3 trades$6250 min
2/28/2026, 9:45:59 PM1 trades$5040 min
7/1/2026, 10:19:07 AM13 trades$4750 min
4/8/2026, 1:52:25 AM2 trades$4580 min
7/25/2026, 4:38:13 PM3 trades$4180 min
7/7/2026, 5:52:55 PM8 trades$2891 min
3/23/2026, 7:56:03 PM2 trades$1381 min
3/31/2026, 8:24:07 AM1 trades$1020 min
3/29/2026, 12:01:08 PM2 trades$992 min
3/20/2026, 8:43:19 PM2 trades$431 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-17
02-28
03-20
03-23
03-31
04-08
04-30
05-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 129 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.93/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L87.3 / M0 / H12.7