@0xa955F7565a3546Cbcc1D186731172A0aA8097E84-1761820690869

#3,011,0023

0xa955f7565a3546cbcc1d186731172a0aa8097e84

~42d· 25 markets · 251 tradesVol: $246,6252026-08-02 06:24:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (8/24)1.7/20
0.08x (win $248 / loss $2,999)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.8400/15
Sortino -6.4700/10
$-0.6538 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6040 (24 markets)0/10
6/17 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 69062% of peak ($2,756 / $4)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,626,763$-2,495Vol: $238,122
🎭 CULTURE#767,829$-62Vol: $8,499
CRYPTO#508,583$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,557
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$246,625
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
193B / 58S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,557
Vol: $246,625

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
8W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-2,557
Win Rate
33%
8W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-187

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $227 (0.08887533048606874% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$189
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$9
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$8
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$7
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$5
Ethereum Up or Down on November 27?$0
Zelensky resigns in 2025?$0

Top Losers

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$-1,667
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?$-1,044
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$-55
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$-52
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$-40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-22
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$-20
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$-12
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.347
Sortino
-0.292
HHI
2595
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.758
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41.2%
Top-5 markets
78.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 468s — normal for humanCV 2.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.17
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)91.7%
Mid (20-55c)4.1%
High (>55c)4.1%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 3:17:17 PM44 trades$8,7032 min
11/1/2025, 2:22:31 PM1 trades$3670 min
1/5/2026, 12:02:13 AM1 trades$3650 min
6/26/2026, 1:32:02 AM2 trades$2990 min
12/23/2025, 4:23:31 PM8 trades$2881 min
12/16/2025, 9:55:57 AM1 trades$2780 min
2/28/2026, 6:57:29 AM1 trades$2530 min
2/28/2026, 8:43:01 AM3 trades$2531 min
1/1/2026, 4:37:05 PM5 trades$2491 min
12/15/2025, 7:20:07 PM1 trades$2430 min
12/18/2025, 8:36:23 PM1 trades$2390 min
12/15/2025, 5:29:59 PM2 trades$2320 min
12/2/2025, 11:00:00 AM2 trades$2200 min
12/19/2025, 11:25:16 AM4 trades$1981 min
1/4/2026, 10:08:01 PM3 trades$1871 min
12/7/2025, 2:08:41 PM12 trades$1655 min
2/20/2026, 7:50:12 PM2 trades$1051 min
12/25/2025, 6:48:03 PM4 trades$1043 min
12/3/2025, 8:59:05 AM1 trades$610 min
12/5/2025, 5:23:07 PM1 trades$550 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-01
11-27
12-14
12-16
12-25
01-14
01-23
02-20
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 201 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.17/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L91.7 / M4.1 / H4.1