@UnderdogOutlier

#11,02366

0xa9cf33875d94900c2c16c9c58f42e327c980c8b9

~88d· 175 markets · 7378 tradesVol: $2,898,4232026-08-02 06:24:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (71/167)6.3/20
1.84x (win $77,182 / loss $41,933)13/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.83115/15
Sortino 6.61110/10
$+0.3069 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1656 (167 markets)4.2/10
29/64 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 50% of peak ($19,640 / $39,020)3.9/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+13,692
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
Whale
$114,871 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#59,803$448Vol: $1,232,326
₿ CRYPTO#3,900$12,088Vol: $1,145,991
🏛️ POLITICS#1,512,362$-95Vol: $24,776
🎭 CULTURE#44,710$24Vol: $2,160
📈 ECONOMICS#489,574$-1Vol: $1,161
💰 FINANCE#52,869$11Vol: $104

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13,692
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,898,423
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
175
total markets
Trades
5488B / 1890S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~88d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$1,748
Vol: $0
Month
$287
Vol: $8,744
All Time
$13,692
Vol: $2,898,423

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
71W / 96L events
Realized PnL
$13,692
Win Rate
43%
71W / 96L
Profit Factor
1.84x
Avg Win
$1,087
Avg Loss
$-466

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $57,796 (4.22124246711312% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43,805
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$8,544
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?$5,446
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?$4,290
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs$2,500
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$2,087
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner$1,132
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$921
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs$655
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians$646

Top Losers

LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs$-7,922
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?$-3,762
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-3,620
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,775
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-2,270
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs$-1,989
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$-1,541
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?$-1,347
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$-1,306
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?$-1,206

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.095
Sortino
0.278
HHI
412
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.314
Kelly %
9.4%
Half-Kelly
4.7%
Top-1 market
12%
Top-5 markets
36.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
17.9m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
50.8

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 2.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active0.3 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
43.28
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.5%
Mid (20-55c)15.7%
High (>55c)29.8%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 5:11:56 PM27 trades$149,0456 min
6/25/2026, 8:38:07 PM155 trades$33,59836 min
6/23/2026, 5:27:23 PM33 trades$21,9624 min
2/28/2025, 9:17:52 AM35 trades$11,67128 min
6/26/2026, 7:03:56 PM294 trades$11,46553 min
7/2/2026, 7:37:55 PM72 trades$11,30628 min
6/15/2026, 4:48:21 PM156 trades$8,62737 min
7/2/2026, 5:47:38 PM51 trades$7,06115 min
2/25/2025, 10:31:35 AM23 trades$5,34017 min
6/25/2026, 10:00:02 PM56 trades$5,19833 min
2/28/2025, 2:10:38 PM17 trades$4,58611 min
5/15/2026, 9:08:57 AM69 trades$4,11617 min
6/19/2026, 10:10:17 AM187 trades$4,07575 min
5/16/2026, 12:39:09 PM61 trades$3,82224 min
6/19/2026, 12:35:43 PM131 trades$3,60028 min
6/18/2026, 10:06:56 AM16 trades$3,0891 min
6/25/2026, 3:13:58 AM7 trades$2,8961 min
3/28/2025, 3:05:18 PM16 trades$2,79914 min
6/25/2026, 9:33:14 PM103 trades$2,58121 min
6/24/2026, 8:59:02 PM2 trades$2,4810 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-26
03-15
05-18
06-18
07-01
07-15
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 43.28/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.5 / M15.7 / H29.8