@cicada42

#27,77927

0xac3ec2df92d24b333eebd7044fb01dfe156c8150

~102d· 137 markets · 3493 tradesVol: $773,668 @cicadatree422026-08-02 06:30:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (72/132)12.3/20
0.60x (win $52,248 / loss $87,633)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4150/15
Sortino -2.6380/10
$-0.0844 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 386 (132 markets)10/10
26/55 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 225% of peak ($63,601 / $28,216)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+4,464
DCA Master
Avg 26.2 entries/market
Whale
$419,369 invested
High Roller
$3,061/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#1,002$5,401Vol: $471,325
🏛️ POLITICS#18,234$976Vol: $143,268
₿ CRYPTO#68,011$184Vol: $49,330
📈 ECONOMICS#670,550$-270Vol: $12,844
🎭 CULTURE#795,120$-211Vol: $9,071
⚽ SPORTS#559,779$0Vol: $285
💻 TECH#30,262$3Vol: $45
📢 MENTIONS#146,907$-25Vol: $39

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,464
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$773,668
Total Redeem
$1,733
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
137
total markets
Trades
2664B / 829S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~102d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$4,464
Vol: $773,668

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
72W / 60L events
Realized PnL
$4,464
Win Rate
55%
72W / 60L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$726
Avg Loss
$-1,537

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,797 (4.2104806916942925% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$7,255
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$6,198
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$5,344
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$3,915
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$3,340
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$3,068
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$3,065
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$2,703
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2,429
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$2,230

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-25,288
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-15,041
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-12,780
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$-9,293
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-7,196
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?$-7,164
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?$-1,862
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?$-1,715
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?$-1,558
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?$-1,476

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.125
Sortino
-0.108
HHI
410
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.084
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.1%
Top-5 markets
35.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.0m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 246s — normal for humanCV 2.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency1.0 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26.16
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.2%
Mid (20-55c)15.6%
High (>55c)72.2%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 12:31:42 PM95 trades$24,94657 min
6/17/2026, 5:30:50 PM8 trades$11,5462 min
6/14/2026, 10:16:39 PM53 trades$11,02944 min
6/15/2026, 12:04:06 AM7 trades$7,90210 min
6/14/2026, 1:54:01 PM17 trades$7,68912 min
6/14/2026, 11:06:04 PM9 trades$6,9882 min
5/29/2026, 7:38:00 PM34 trades$6,56826 min
6/22/2026, 3:51:10 PM3 trades$6,4190 min
6/10/2026, 11:31:42 AM13 trades$6,2821 min
6/22/2026, 5:57:41 PM8 trades$5,6080 min
6/14/2026, 9:48:46 PM33 trades$5,53820 min
5/30/2026, 1:37:11 AM1 trades$5,0210 min
6/20/2026, 1:49:19 PM1 trades$4,6570 min
6/10/2026, 11:39:21 AM16 trades$3,69612 min
6/14/2026, 9:16:39 PM19 trades$3,6616 min
6/3/2026, 11:09:01 AM2 trades$3,6400 min
6/4/2026, 2:24:33 AM4 trades$3,4403 min
6/3/2026, 1:56:44 AM1 trades$3,3580 min
6/14/2026, 2:42:37 PM4 trades$3,3272 min
6/11/2026, 4:39:31 AM3 trades$3,3110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-06
03-13
03-30
04-22
05-06
06-04
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.2 / M15.6 / H72.2