@ArieLethal

#2,926,04310

0xac7229eedf32992e087d6af8c8deacb9ecb807c1

~103d· 686 markets · 4453 tradesVol: $180,3172026-08-02 05:29:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (157/641)0/20
0.81x (win $3,098 / loss $3,826)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5630/15
Sortino -3.8950/10
$-0.0719 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 597 (641 markets)9.5/10
22/94 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 621% of peak ($868 / $140)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,605,295$-675Vol: $118,675
SPORTS#179,114$41Vol: $25,708
CRYPTO#1,563,918$-314Vol: $15,215
🎭 CULTURE#752,139$-39Vol: $6,735
💻 TECH#224,435$-9Vol: $4,331
💰 FINANCE#590,822$-18Vol: $4,033
📈 ECONOMICS#80,638$2Vol: $2,103
📢 MENTIONS#135,942$-14Vol: $1,622
🌤️ WEATHER#193,566$-1Vol: $149

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,022
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$180,317
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
686
total markets
Trades
2179B / 2274S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~103d

Periods

#2
Today
$-179
Vol: $14
Week
$-268
Vol: $14
Month
$-288
Vol: $1,464
All Time
$-1,022
Vol: $180,317

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
157W / 484L events
Realized PnL
$-1,022
Win Rate
24%
157W / 484L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $835 (0.8173337640344952% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$521
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$164
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$150
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$148
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$137
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$89
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$80
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$74
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$67
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-08?$57

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$-145
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-109
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-81
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-74
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs$-68
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?$-61
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$-58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$-52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.133
Sortino
-0.223
HHI
44
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.076
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
6.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.5
Active
Markets / Day
4.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.7m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 95s — normal for humanCV 1.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency4.4 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.37
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.6%
Mid (20-55c)20.2%
High (>55c)33.2%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 2:04:23 PM8 trades$3,0024 min
4/6/2026, 10:41:43 PM2 trades$3,0000 min
4/6/2026, 12:52:59 AM10 trades$2,3422 min
4/6/2026, 1:30:43 AM6 trades$2,3331 min
4/5/2026, 1:56:23 PM4 trades$2,0000 min
4/6/2026, 1:02:27 AM2 trades$1,8500 min
4/12/2026, 4:28:53 PM9 trades$1,3090 min
3/5/2026, 9:10:59 AM52 trades$1,08045 min
6/7/2026, 2:35:12 PM30 trades$1,07814 min
4/5/2026, 1:37:39 PM8 trades$1,0744 min
4/10/2026, 2:05:45 PM8 trades$1,0543 min
6/19/2026, 1:03:41 PM22 trades$1,0538 min
4/5/2026, 4:06:25 PM6 trades$1,0022 min
4/6/2026, 9:58:31 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/19/2026, 6:37:49 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/21/2026, 5:04:19 PM7 trades$7966 min
3/5/2026, 11:51:37 AM44 trades$75454 min
6/14/2026, 6:13:28 AM10 trades$6336 min
6/15/2026, 6:10:00 AM86 trades$54938 min
6/17/2026, 1:14:29 PM78 trades$54627 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
03-16
04-06
05-17
06-14
07-02
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 152 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.37/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.6 / M20.2 / H33.2