@0xacb48d29ff79f101bb10de5906fd8b35eb9d4037
170xacb48d29ff79f101bb10de5906fd8b35eb9d4037
~4d· 14 markets · 115 trades2026-08-02 05:10:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (5/12)5.8/20
1.07x (win $232 / loss $217)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0473 per $1 invested2.4/10
HHI 4113 (12 markets)0/10
2/4 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 293% of peak ($117 / $40)0/10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-30
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$331
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
50B / 65S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~4d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
5W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-30
Win Rate
42%
5W / 7L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$46
Avg Loss
$-31
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $201 (6.797631133671743% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$98
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)$63
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?$40
UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)$24
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$8
Top Losers
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)$-119
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$-41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$-19
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-14
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$-11
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?$-7
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.051
Sortino
0.272
HHI
1762
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.051
Kelly %
4.4%
Half-Kelly
2.2%
Top-1 market
34.2%
Top-5 markets
76.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
28.8
Active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1580s — normal for humanCV 0.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity29 trades/day — high frequency3.5 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.67
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14%
Mid (20-55c)30%
High (>55c)56%
Sessions
#126/26/2026, 4:45:50 AM4 trades$8,0040 min
6/26/2026, 1:53:49 AM4 trades$1,2430 min
6/26/2026, 6:22:22 AM2 trades$1,2120 min
6/25/2026, 7:13:07 AM4 trades$1,0250 min
6/26/2026, 7:26:19 AM7 trades$7220 min
6/25/2026, 1:47:05 PM9 trades$5510 min
6/27/2026, 12:54:53 AM2 trades$410 min
6/27/2026, 7:22:11 AM2 trades$370 min
6/26/2026, 6:06:35 PM4 trades$331 min
6/27/2026, 1:02:46 AM2 trades$320 min
6/27/2026, 8:02:46 AM2 trades$310 min
6/27/2026, 11:14:14 PM2 trades$310 min
6/26/2026, 5:51:35 PM5 trades$301 min
6/27/2026, 8:12:34 AM2 trades$300 min
6/27/2026, 7:31:04 AM2 trades$280 min
6/27/2026, 1:36:59 AM2 trades$280 min
6/27/2026, 11:24:02 PM4 trades$260 min
6/28/2026, 1:22:02 AM2 trades$260 min
6/26/2026, 12:32:38 PM5 trades$255 min
6/27/2026, 1:54:46 AM2 trades$220 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
06-26
06-27
06-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14 / M30 / H56