JMLL

@JMLL

#3,064,91310

0xad45e9875d382d0b6ca408a2ec1020584dacb8c9

~204d· 374 markets · 4749 tradesVol: $2,384,903 @JMLMKJ2026-08-02 07:05:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

10% (38/374)0/20
0.38x (win $23,821 / loss $62,069)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.4840/15
Sortino -7.3420/10
$-0.5919 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 144 (374 markets)10/10
24/170 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 1422% of peak ($41,140 / $2,892)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
96% entries < $0.20
Whale
$64,619 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,672,574$-24,998Vol: $2,370,810
SPORTS#354,300$4Vol: $4,810
🏛️ POLITICS#55,740$131Vol: $4,514
📈 ECONOMICS#652,015$-65Vol: $3,732
💰 FINANCE#614,775$-44Vol: $740
🌤️ WEATHER#267,071$-29Vol: $297

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-25,002
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,384,903
Total Redeem
$2,090
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
374
total markets
Trades
2823B / 1926S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~204d

Periods

#2
Today
$65
Vol: $1,798
Week
$-1,379
Vol: $1,798
Month
$-35
Vol: $8,396
All Time
$-25,002
Vol: $2,384,903

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
10%
38W / 336L events
Realized PnL
$-24,993
Win Rate
10%
38W / 336L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$627
Avg Loss
$-186

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,155 (0.32630320063025925% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 9?$3,110
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15?$2,917
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 14?$2,128
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?$1,809
Will Bitcoin dip to $120,000 October 6-12?$1,335
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 1?$1,066
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 10?$1,040
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?$991
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 3?$972
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 26?$765

Top Losers

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?$-2,356
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?$-1,676
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?$-1,454
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?$-1,306
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 28?$-1,181
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 6-12?$-1,138
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?$-1,078
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 29?$-1,067
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 27-November 2?$-1,052
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 29?$-1,005

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.286
Sortino
-0.463
HHI
74
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.592
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
11.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 132s — normal for humanCV 2.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.7
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)95.5%
Mid (20-55c)3.2%
High (>55c)1.3%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 3:53:40 PM11 trades$12,3166 min
6/24/2026, 5:49:46 PM23 trades$10,4342 min
4/23/2026, 8:51:08 AM25 trades$9,8984 min
4/24/2026, 4:23:42 PM39 trades$9,56111 min
4/24/2026, 5:48:40 AM25 trades$8,8164 min
4/23/2026, 4:23:44 PM21 trades$7,8934 min
4/27/2026, 6:36:32 AM36 trades$6,7787 min
5/5/2026, 5:23:18 PM8 trades$6,3323 min
4/4/2026, 2:23:49 AM26 trades$6,2873 min
4/26/2026, 1:39:28 PM11 trades$6,1715 min
5/6/2026, 1:46:48 PM8 trades$5,7122 min
4/23/2026, 8:35:36 AM3 trades$5,6000 min
6/19/2026, 4:22:50 PM13 trades$5,3632 min
7/9/2026, 3:47:02 PM9 trades$5,0120 min
4/25/2026, 4:46:52 PM4 trades$5,0000 min
4/28/2026, 2:42:32 PM11 trades$5,0000 min
5/3/2026, 6:45:48 PM4 trades$4,9940 min
5/4/2026, 11:59:16 PM12 trades$4,9367 min
4/29/2026, 4:08:56 PM5 trades$4,8760 min
6/11/2026, 12:52:43 PM21 trades$4,7327 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-11
11-21
01-11
02-15
03-25
05-14
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 233 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L95.5 / M3.2 / H1.3