@0xad9421cf38c6c470e2d4bdfc414e895f9e3f164b
150xad9421cf38c6c470e2d4bdfc414e895f9e3f164b
~16d· 30 markets · 130 trades2026-08-02 04:12:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
33% (10/30)1.7/20
0.48x (win $362 / loss $756)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2510/15
Sortino -4.2450/10
$-0.3533 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1101 (30 markets)7/10
7/13 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($615 / $0)0/10
Badges
1Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,782,049$-395Vol: $56,661
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-395
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,116
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
53B / 77S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
33%
10W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-395
Win Rate
33%
10W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$36
Avg Loss
$-69
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $139 (0.3527297577767092% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$56
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5$42
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$41
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$39
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5$39
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$38
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$38
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$24
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$14
Top Losers
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-477
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-114
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$-31
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-30
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5$-30
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-20
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$-20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-16
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$-12
England vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first?$-4
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.214
Sortino
-0.166
HHI
1046
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.353
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.8%
Top-5 markets
55.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
29.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1749s — normal for humanCV 1.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours11/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.33
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)20.8%
Mid (20-55c)32.1%
High (>55c)47.2%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 9:06:38 PM7 trades$1,0081 min
5/17/2026, 5:56:12 PM7 trades$2900 min
5/18/2026, 8:39:24 PM5 trades$2360 min
6/24/2026, 12:48:52 AM6 trades$1972 min
6/20/2026, 11:47:55 PM8 trades$1792 min
5/23/2026, 12:15:43 AM9 trades$1270 min
6/24/2026, 11:51:16 PM2 trades$1090 min
6/25/2026, 9:40:13 PM5 trades$964 min
6/25/2026, 11:06:43 PM2 trades$900 min
6/22/2026, 11:52:46 PM5 trades$851 min
6/21/2026, 11:54:29 PM11 trades$837 min
6/15/2026, 5:12:10 PM2 trades$710 min
6/12/2026, 6:59:33 PM4 trades$660 min
6/24/2026, 11:22:07 PM2 trades$560 min
5/19/2026, 6:53:07 PM2 trades$550 min
6/23/2026, 4:42:16 AM2 trades$420 min
6/12/2026, 7:15:49 PM2 trades$350 min
6/24/2026, 7:01:47 PM2 trades$340 min
6/12/2026, 7:31:07 PM2 trades$310 min
6/13/2026, 10:05:42 PM2 trades$300 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-23
06-13
06-15
06-20
06-22
06-24
07-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.8 / M32.1 / H47.2