@0xadb60a1a1ad865befc9de93643eed3be61705875
580xadb60a1a1ad865befc9de93643eed3be61705875
~66d· 130 markets · 641 trades2026-08-02 06:23:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
18% (18/100)0/20
1.68x (win $1,440 / loss $857)11/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.67015/15
Sortino 9.10810/10
$+0.2915 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 804 (100 markets)8.5/10
6/47 profitable days (13%)0/10
Max DD 50% of peak ($588 / $1,171)4/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
78% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-231
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,001
Total Redeem
$14
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
130
total markets
Trades
404B / 237S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
18%
18W / 82L events
Realized PnL
$-231
Win Rate
18%
18W / 82L
Profit Factor
1.68x
Avg Win
$80
Avg Loss
$-13
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,162 (5.029126633774777% of PnL)
Top Winners
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$933
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$161
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$68
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$40
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$33
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$30
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$21
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$15
Top Losers
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $144 in July?$-45
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-30
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$-29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-27
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?$-25
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?$-22
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Will Mikel Oyarzabal score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.086
Sortino
0.576
HHI
194
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.368
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.1%
Top-5 markets
20.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 250s — normal for humanCV 2.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.5
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)77.7%
Mid (20-55c)10.4%
High (>55c)11.9%
Sessions
#126/24/2026, 5:46:49 AM16 trades$2,7331 min
6/2/2026, 7:48:06 AM7 trades$9054 min
6/17/2026, 7:50:35 AM9 trades$4314 min
6/6/2026, 1:00:43 PM17 trades$4081 min
6/15/2026, 6:37:33 PM6 trades$4060 min
4/9/2026, 11:15:23 AM9 trades$3583 min
5/20/2026, 5:38:57 PM4 trades$3430 min
6/16/2026, 6:20:34 AM9 trades$2931 min
4/8/2026, 11:27:37 AM13 trades$2851 min
7/30/2026, 7:55:53 AM3 trades$2800 min
6/11/2026, 7:17:06 PM4 trades$2380 min
6/29/2026, 4:54:26 AM7 trades$2301 min
6/21/2026, 3:19:46 PM58 trades$21217 min
7/21/2026, 9:01:25 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/24/2026, 3:50:41 AM5 trades$1953 min
6/11/2026, 8:15:31 AM6 trades$1912 min
7/20/2026, 5:46:54 PM2 trades$1880 min
7/14/2026, 1:49:23 PM11 trades$1752 min
7/21/2026, 6:47:34 AM9 trades$1571 min
7/8/2026, 3:04:20 PM6 trades$1550 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
03-23
06-02
06-20
07-06
07-16
07-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 51 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.5/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L77.7 / M10.4 / H11.9