Reconquistador

@Reconquistador

#3,069,17026

0xadfaada4a21c0b3d5c6459f2374d1e3dfd43324e

~120d· 1042 markets · 18770 tradesVol: $14,514,8092026-08-02 07:36:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (498/1039)9/20
0.96x (win $2,110,334 / loss $2,190,521)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9480/15
Sortino -1.2410/10
$-0.0165 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 17 (1039 markets)10/10
56/114 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 451% of peak ($137,197 / $30,431)0/10

Badges

8
Contrarian
67% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
3% sells
DCA Master
Avg 18.0 entries/market
Whale
$4,854,053 invested
High Roller
$32,798/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,881,940$-104,301Vol: $10,687,113
🏛️ POLITICS#1,183,807$-6Vol: $150
💰 FINANCE#519,004$-3Vol: $31
📢 MENTIONS#110,031$-4Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-66,993
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,514,809
Total Redeem
$1,045,198
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1042
total markets
Trades
18300B / 470S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~120d

Periods

#2
Week
$-3,340
Vol: $0
Month
$-6,027
Vol: $13,303
All Time
$-66,993
Vol: $14,514,809

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
498W / 541L events
Realized PnL
$-66,993
Win Rate
48%
498W / 541L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$4,238
Avg Loss
$-4,087

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $48,066 (0.7174760632136554% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21,866
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$13,400
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?$12,800
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)$12,480
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$11,604
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?$10,720
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?$10,545
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?$10,530
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs$10,240
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?$10,200

Top Losers

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?$-17,597
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$-15,900
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$-14,168
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs$-14,016
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$-12,960
Knicks vs. Spurs$-12,750
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?$-10,980
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?$-10,840
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B$-10,470
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-07?$-10,460

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.049
Sortino
-0.065
HHI
15
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
2.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
126.8
Very active
Markets / Day
7.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.5m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
26 min
Avg Trades / Session
61.9

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 3.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock127 trades/day — automation7.0 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.03
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)66%
High (>55c)32.6%

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 9:32:02 PM90 trades$58,30022 min
5/13/2026, 6:47:44 PM53 trades$45,31113 min
3/27/2026, 2:53:39 PM310 trades$40,747185 min
3/29/2026, 2:37:30 PM278 trades$40,650104 min
5/12/2026, 10:15:30 PM22 trades$37,69232 min
3/29/2026, 4:41:46 PM46 trades$37,13639 min
5/10/2026, 6:24:52 PM5 trades$32,2405 min
3/29/2026, 9:33:02 PM20 trades$31,79912 min
4/24/2026, 10:05:10 PM8 trades$30,0375 min
4/7/2026, 9:32:21 PM3 trades$29,9700 min
5/13/2026, 9:33:44 AM56 trades$29,16126 min
3/16/2026, 10:17:45 PM50 trades$28,56039 min
6/25/2026, 7:33:50 PM211 trades$28,04726 min
6/15/2026, 1:41:34 AM4 trades$25,4401 min
4/28/2026, 1:45:50 PM8 trades$23,7970 min
3/26/2026, 7:41:55 PM64 trades$23,61230 min
3/12/2026, 5:08:59 PM135 trades$21,78923 min
4/1/2026, 3:59:27 PM62 trades$21,76444 min
6/14/2026, 12:30:52 AM80 trades$21,38616 min
5/12/2026, 5:43:15 PM10 trades$21,10114 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
03-27
04-17
05-09
06-09
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.03/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L1.5 / M66 / H32.6