@decemberego

#2,976,05073

0xae1f941a0b08ab6af1f26a45ab8315985eed86c4

~85d· 103 markets · 901 tradesVol: $96,5562026-08-02 06:40:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (45/87)10.9/20
1.53x (win $10,841 / loss $7,094)9.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.15815/15
Sortino 5.27110/10
$+0.1111 per $1 invested5.6/10
HHI 277 (87 markets)10/10
30/53 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 40% of peak ($1,976 / $4,939)6/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 9.0 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,604,678$-700Vol: $56,529
📈 ECONOMICS#5,020$452Vol: $10,860
💻 TECH#254,059$-342Vol: $7,781
🎭 CULTURE#39,913$30Vol: $5,947
💰 FINANCE#652,950$-1,019Vol: $5,332
₿ CRYPTO#1,336,265$-34Vol: $5,216
⚽ SPORTS#232,870$19Vol: $108

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,669
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$96,556
Total Redeem
$1,470
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
103
total markets
Trades
586B / 315S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~85d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-15
Vol: $200
All Time
$-1,669
Vol: $96,556

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
45W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$-1,669
Win Rate
52%
45W / 42L
Profit Factor
1.53x
Avg Win
$241
Avg Loss
$-187

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,243 (3.740484449796598% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$3,558
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$1,832
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$854
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$571
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$399
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$374
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$326
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$312
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$270
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$238

Top Losers

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$-1,292
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-567
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-527
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$-485
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$-382
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-359
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-359
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$-316
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?$-297
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?$-275

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.112
Sortino
0.237
HHI
237
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.131
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
26.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 686s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.05
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.3%
Mid (20-55c)19.6%
High (>55c)45.1%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 7:22:04 AM12 trades$1,7652 min
6/30/2026, 5:39:34 PM13 trades$1,4010 min
4/7/2026, 10:06:59 PM20 trades$1,2475 min
6/28/2026, 3:56:07 AM2 trades$1,1830 min
6/11/2026, 8:10:54 PM9 trades$1,0866 min
5/20/2026, 12:44:01 AM4 trades$1,0250 min
6/8/2026, 7:47:39 PM4 trades$1,0202 min
5/7/2026, 8:47:08 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/7/2026, 9:14:21 PM10 trades$9850 min
4/28/2026, 5:57:00 PM11 trades$9387 min
4/29/2026, 11:19:24 PM9 trades$9370 min
6/29/2026, 4:24:56 PM2 trades$8000 min
5/7/2026, 9:00:53 PM9 trades$7680 min
4/7/2026, 11:04:45 PM9 trades$7534 min
6/14/2026, 10:48:43 PM2 trades$6890 min
5/1/2026, 7:18:08 PM5 trades$6851 min
4/28/2026, 6:54:08 PM11 trades$6693 min
5/1/2026, 7:01:04 PM2 trades$6640 min
3/11/2026, 10:19:23 PM2 trades$6562 min
4/6/2026, 2:58:01 PM2 trades$6000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-29
04-16
05-04
05-17
06-01
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L35.3 / M19.6 / H45.1